Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Jul 14 2003

Stock Markets in Latin America Outpace Other Major Areas

Summary

Stock markets in Latin America are up sharply from late 2002. The Morgan Stanley Capital International index of Latin America EMF (Emerging Markets Free) stock prices in U.S. dollars has risen almost 15% in the last month and is up [...]


Stock markets in Latin America are up sharply from late 2002. The Morgan Stanley Capital International index of Latin America EMF (Emerging Markets Free) stock prices in U.S. dollars has risen almost 15% in the last month and is up 23% from July 2002.

Currency appreciation in Argentina and Brazil have accounted for a part of the rise in dollar terms, but political changes have also been important. Brazil's new president who took office on January 1, has so far surprised investors by adhering to a tough government deficit reduction plan. In Argentina belief that the new president, who was inaugurated in May, will restructure the government debt together with a surge in exports has increased confidence.. Stock markets in Japan, Asian emerging markets and in the United States have increased in recent months, but remain below levels reached a year ago while the stock market in dollar terms in Europe shows little gain in spite of the rise in the Euro.

Stock Prices June 2003  May 2003 June 2002 M/M Y/Y 2002 2001 2000
Morgan Stanley (12/87=100)
 Asia 154.432 143.572 161.157 7.56 -4.14 140.350 149.704 143.615
 Latin America  800.192 782.791 731.890 14.85 23.00 658.941 876.163 915.634
 Europe  942.252 935.729 1021.604 0.70 -7.77 867.447 1085.759 1378.396
 Japan 1630.444 1518.857 1927.331 7.35 -15.40 1593.175 1789.256 2551.957
S&P 500 (1941-43=100) 988.00 935.96 1014.05 5.56 -2.57 995.64 1192.08 1426.76

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