Except for "tail risks", those with a low probability, like failure to raise the debt ceiling, the economic fundamentals appear to be on the mend. The OECD calculates composite leading indicators (CLIs) for 39 countries*. Its CLIs [...]
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Louise Curley
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Global| Jan 14 2013Encouraging Signs of Economic Growth from Leading Indicators
- Global| Jan 07 2013
Canada's Ivey PMI Ends 2011 on a Positive Note
Canada's Purchasing Managers became a bit more optimistic at year end with the Ivey PMI rising from 47.5% in November to 52.8% in December. The improvement in their outlook was due largely to the expectation that inventories would be [...]
- Global| Jan 07 2013
Canada's Ivey PMI Ends 2011 on a Positive Note
Canada's Purchasing Managers became a bit more optimistic at year end with the Ivey PMI rising from 47.5% in November to 52.8% in December. The improvement in their outlook was due largely to the expectation that inventories would be [...]
- Global| Dec 18 2012
Ireland's GDP Advances in the Third Quarter
Ireland continues to recover from the recession of 2008. According to data released today, GDP in Ireland rose a modest 0.18% in the third quarter from the second quarter and was 0.79% above GDP of a year ago. Ever since the third [...]
- Global| Dec 17 2012
German Manufacturing Employment Declines
German manufacturing is beginning to feel the effects of the slowdown in the rest of the Euro Area. Data released today and shown in Haver's GERMANY database show that employment in the manufacturing industry dropped in October to [...]
- Global| Dec 11 2012
German Financial Experts More Hopeful
The 278 German financial experts participating in the latest ZEW survey, which took place from November 26th to December 10th, were more optimistic than they were last month. While they appraised the current situation only a bit more [...]
- Global| Dec 10 2012
OECD Leading Indicators: A Mixed Bag
The OECD's Leading Indicator for three broad groups of countries are showing mixed trends, as shown in the attached chart. Those for the Euro Area are definitely indicating slowing economies. Except for Germany, most of the other [...]
- Global| Dec 10 2012
OECD Leading Indicators: A Mixed Bag
The OECD's Leading Indicator for three broad groups of countries are showing mixed trends, as shown in the attached chart. Those for the Euro Area are definitely indicating slowing economies. Except for Germany, most of the other [...]
- Global| Dec 04 2012
Industrial Strikes Rattle the South African Consumers
South Africa's Bureau of Economic Research released its quarterly report on consumer confidence for the fourth quarter of 2012 today. The data are expressed in balances of opinion and can be found in the Haver data base EMERGEMA. The [...]
- Global| Dec 03 2012
Final Estimates for November Manufacturing PMIs Outside the U.S.
Purchasing managers in manufacturing outside the U.S. were relatively optimistic in November. There were more upgrades than downgrades in the diffusion indexes that measure the opinions of the purchasing managers as evidenced in the [...]
- Global| Nov 27 2012
Russian Corporate Profits
Russian corporate profits increased by 84.5 billion rubles from August to 843.4 billion rubles in September and were up 629.1 billion rubles from September, 2011. With the ruble roughly equivalent to 31 U. S. dollars, the comparable [...]
- Global| Nov 26 2012
Indicators of Consumer Confidence: Korea, Brazil, Italy
Measures of Consumer sentiment or confidence in Korea, Brazil and Italy were announced today. In Korea, sentiment is measured above or below a neutral position of 100. Consumer confidence in Brazil is measured in points. The [...]
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