Global| Oct 02 2014Challenger Job Cut Announcements Move Lower; Hiring Surges
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
The outplacement firm of Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that job cut announcements declined to 30,477 (-24.4% y/y) during September, the lowest level since June 2007. Layoffs declined m/m in the electronics, pharmaceutical, [...]
The outplacement firm of Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that job cut announcements declined to 30,477 (-24.4% y/y) during September, the lowest level since June 2007. Layoffs declined m/m in the electronics, pharmaceutical, services, energy, health care, industrial goods, insurance, financial, government, telecommunications industries. Layoffs increased in the education, entertainment/leisure, food, media, real estate, retail, transportation, consumer products and utility industries. During the last ten years there has been a 62% correlation between the level of job cut announcements and the m/m change in payroll employment.
Challenger also samples firms' hiring plans. They surged to 567,705 (27.7% y/y) due to seasonal jumps in the transportation and retail industries, as well as gains in the government, media, automotive, computer and electronics sectors. These were offset by declines in industrial goods, insurance, consumer products, entertainment/leisure, financial, food and health care industries.
The Challenger figures are available in Haver's SURVEYS database.
Options-Based Expectations of Future Policy Rates from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco can be found here.
| Challenger, Gray & Christmas | Sep | Jul | Jun | Y/Y % | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Announced Job Cuts | 30,477 | 40,010 | 46,887 | -24.4 | 509,051 | 523,362 | 606,082 |
| Announced Hiring Plans | 567,705 | 9,657 | 16,544 | 27.7 | 764,206 | 630,447 | 537,572 |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
More Economy in Brief
