Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Apr 01 2005

  U.S. Payroll Growth Slowed, Unemployment Fell

  Non-farm payrolls rose just 110,000 in March and the prior month's gain was revised lower to 243,000. Consensus expectations had been for payrolls to rise 220,000 last month. The household survey, however, indicated that the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 31 2005

  Initial Claims For Unemployment Insurance Rose Further

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose 20,000 to 350,000 last week versus an upwardly revised level the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for 321,000 claims. During the last ten years there has been a (negative) 74% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 31 2005

  U.S. Factory Inventories Up Again

  Factory inventories added 0.5% in February to the prior month's 1.5% spurt. Less petroleum inventories which fell 0.4% (16.7% y/y) the total increased 0.6% (8.3% y/y). Factory shipments fell 0.9% in part reflecting a 2.9% drop in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 31 2005

  Chicago Purchasing Agents' Index Highest Since 1988

  The Chicago Purchasing Managers Business Barometer for March jumped 6.5 points to 69.2 and easily surpassed Consensus expectations for a decline to 60.3. The surge was to the highest level since 1988. The gain suggests improvement in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 31 2005

  Help-Wanted Advertising Held A Higher Level

  The Conference Board's National Index of Help-Wanted Advertising in February held onto the improvement during the prior month and was unchanged at 41. During the last ten years there has been an 68% correlation between the level of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 31 2005

  U.S. Personal Income Gain Light

  Personal income rose 0.3% in February. The modest gain followed a 2.5% January decline in the wake of Microsoft's dividend payment. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.4% rise for February. Disposable personal income rose 0.3% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 31 2005

  U.S. Personal Income Gain Light

  Personal income rose 0.3% in February. The modest gain followed a 2.5% January decline in the wake of Microsoft's dividend payment. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.4% rise for February. Disposable personal income rose 0.3% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 30 2005

  Mortgage Applications Up A Bit

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications recovered 2.4% last week following the 9.4% drop during the prior period. The average level in March 4.8% below February. Purchase applications rose 5.5% to the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 30 2005

  US GDP Growth Unrevised, Corporate Profits Firm

  US real GDP growth in 4Q04 was unrevised at 3.8% (AR). The Consensus expectation had been for a slight upward revision to 4.0% growth. Reported for the first time, total U.S. operating corporate profits surged 13.5% (12.4% y/y) and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 30 2005

  US GDP Growth Unrevised, Corporate Profits Firm

  US real GDP growth in 4Q04 was unrevised at 3.8% (AR). The Consensus expectation had been for a slight upward revision to 4.0% growth. Reported for the first time, total U.S. operating corporate profits surged 13.5% (12.4% y/y) and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 29 2005

  Consumer Confidence Down Again

  The March Index of Consumer Confidence published by the Conference Board fell 1.9% to 102.4 from an upwardly revised February level. Consensus expectations had been for a reading of 103.0 and the decline followed a 0.7% drop in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 29 2005

  Chain Store Sales Crimped By Higher Gas Prices & Inclement Weather

  Chain store sales fell 1.0% last week. Abundant rain, warm temperatures and, versus February, a 12% rise in gasoline prices to an average $2.15 per gallon may have caused the spending decline. The y/y gain in sales improved in part [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief