Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jun 15 2005

  Consumer Price Inflation Eased

  The CPI-U fell 0.1% in May, the first m/m decline since last July and compared to Consensus expectations for a 0.1% rise. During the first five months of 2005 the CPI is up 4.7% at an annual rate. Pricing power less food & energy [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 15 2005

  Consumer Price Inflation Eased

  The CPI-U fell 0.1% in May, the first m/m decline since last July and compared to Consensus expectations for a 0.1% rise. During the first five months of 2005 the CPI is up 4.7% at an annual rate. Pricing power less food & energy [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 14 2005

  Small Business Optimism Up A Bit

  The Small Business Optimism Index reported by the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) improved 1.0% in May and recovered less than a third of the prior month's decline. The percentage of firms expecting the economy to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 14 2005

  More Jobs Suggested by Manpower Index

  The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey for 3Q '05 indicated further growth in U.S. jobs. The index of hiring intentions held at 21 where it has been for three quarters, indicating that a net 21% of 16,000 employers expect to increase [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 14 2005

  Chain Store Sales Up Again Last Week, Leaders Better

  Chain store sales increased 0.6% last week and added to the 0.4% gain during the opening week of June according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The increases left sales so far in June 0.5% below the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 14 2005

  PPI Unexpectedly Down Sharply

  The 0.6% decline in the May Producer Price Index for finished goods was triple Consensus expectations for a 0.2% fall and the 0.1% increase in prices excluding food & energy also was half the Consensus expectation. Finished energy [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 14 2005

  U.S. Retail Sales Backpedal

  US retail sales slipped 0.5% last month following a little revised 1.5% spurt in April. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.2% decline. The 0.2% decline in sales excluding motor vehicles followed an upwardly revised 1.4% jump in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 14 2005

  OECD Leaders Fell Broadly Again

  The Leading Index of the Major 7 OECD economies fell for the third straight month, off 0.5%, the declines growing larger each month. The drop lowered the six month growth rate in the index to a negative 1.6%, the weakest in two years. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 14 2005

  OECD Leaders Fell Broadly Again

  The Leading Index of the Major 7 OECD economies fell for the third straight month, off 0.5%, the declines growing larger each month. The drop lowered the six month growth rate in the index to a negative 1.6%, the weakest in two years. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 13 2005

  U.S. Budget Deficit Continued To Shrink

  The U.S. federal government's budget deficit during the first eight months of FY 2005 continued to shrink versus FY 2004. Red ink of $272.2B was nearly one quarter lower than the $346.3B during the prior fiscal year and was the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 13 2005

  U.S. Budget Deficit Continued To Shrink

  The U.S. federal government's budget deficit during the first eight months of FY 2005 continued to shrink versus FY 2004. Red ink of $272.2B was nearly one quarter lower than the $346.3B during the prior fiscal year and was the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 10 2005

  Import Prices Fell

  Import prices fell 1.3% last month after an upwardly revised 1.2% April surge. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.4% decline. Petroleum prices slumped 6.5% in May and were the source of April's upward revision. In June, crude oil [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief