Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| May 08 2006

  Fewer Jobs in Retail - Fluke or a Telling Indicator?

  The disappointing 138,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls during April generated questions. Was it typical of a series sometimes buffeted by aberrant forces, both real & statistical, or was there a fundamental pressure newly exposed? The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 08 2006

  Fewer Jobs in Retail - Fluke or a Telling Indicator?

  The disappointing 138,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls during April generated questions. Was it typical of a series sometimes buffeted by aberrant forces, both real & statistical, or was there a fundamental pressure newly exposed? The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 05 2006

  U.S. Job Growth Slowed, Wage Inflation Accelerated

  Nonfarm payrolls rose just 138,000 last month and the March increase was revised down to 200,000. The April gain fell short of Consensus expectations for a 200,000 rise. Private sector jobs were up 131,000, thus undershooting the new [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 05 2006

  U.S. Job Growth Slowed, Wage Inflation Accelerated

  Nonfarm payrolls rose just 138,000 last month and the March increase was revised down to 200,000. The April gain fell short of Consensus expectations for a 200,000 rise. Private sector jobs were up 131,000, thus undershooting the new [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 04 2006

  Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Up

  Initial claims for jobless insurance rose 5,000 last week to 322,000 from an upwardly revised level the prior period. Consensus expectations had been for 310,000 claims. The increase pulled the level of claims filed last month up to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 04 2006

  1Q U.S. Productivity Improved, Profits' Implication Good

  Non-farm labor productivity growth last quarter improved to 3.2% from the 0.3% decline during the final quarter of 2005. The increase beat Consensus expectations for a 2.8% rise and also represented improvement from the average [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 04 2006

  1Q U.S. Productivity Improved, Profits' Implication Good

  Non-farm labor productivity growth last quarter improved to 3.2% from the 0.3% decline during the final quarter of 2005. The increase beat Consensus expectations for a 2.8% rise and also represented improvement from the average [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 03 2006

  U.S. Factory Inventories Accumulate

  Factory inventories rose 0.7% during March and more than made up for an unrevised 0.4% drop the prior month. Much of the prior month's inventory decline had been due to lower computers & electronic products which fully recovered with [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 03 2006

  ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Up Again

  In April, the Business Activity Index for the non-manufacturing sector rose a convincing two and one half points to the highest level since August, reported the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). The rise to 63.0 by far outpaced [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 03 2006

  U.S. Auto Sales Up, Light Truck Sales Down

  US light vehicle sales rose a slight 0.9% during April to 16.74M units according to the Autodata Corporation. The sales level matched Consensus expectations. The rough month-to-month stability of the total, however, masked divergent [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 03 2006

  U.S. Auto Sales Up, Light Truck Sales Down

  US light vehicle sales rose a slight 0.9% during April to 16.74M units according to the Autodata Corporation. The sales level matched Consensus expectations. The rough month-to-month stability of the total, however, masked divergent [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 02 2006

  Challenger Layoffs Lower Still

  Announced job cuts fell another 8.1% last month on top of the 25.7% m/m decline during March, according to the Challenger, Grey & Christmas survey. The decline was to the lowest level since last April. During the last ten years there [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief