Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| May 12 2006

  U.S. Trade Deficit Lower: Exports Surged, Oil Prices Fell

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit fell to $62.0B during March, the lowest level since last August. The decline exceeded Consensus expectations for a deficit of $67.0B. Total exports recovered from the prior month's drop with a 1.9% jump [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 12 2006

  U.S. Trade Deficit Lower: Exports Surged, Oil Prices Fell

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit fell to $62.0B during March, the lowest level since last August. The decline exceeded Consensus expectations for a deficit of $67.0B. Total exports recovered from the prior month's drop with a 1.9% jump [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 11 2006

  Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Rose Again

  Initial unemployment insurance claims fell 1,000 last week to 324,000 after an upwardly revised 9,000 increase during the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for 315,000 claims. The four week moving average of initial claims [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 11 2006

  U.S. Business Inventories Gain

  The 0.7% rise in total business inventories during March handily outpaced Consensus expectations for a 0.5% increase. It followed an upwardly revised 0.1% up tick during February and was the strongest rose so far this year. Retail [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 11 2006

  U.S. Retail Sales Gain Light

  The 0.5% rise in US retail sales during April was a bit short of Consensus expectations for a 0.7% gain. It followed an unrevised 0.6% rise the prior month. Despite the disappointment, retail sales during the first four months of this [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 11 2006

  U.S. Retail Sales Gain Light

  The 0.5% rise in US retail sales during April was a bit short of Consensus expectations for a 0.7% gain. It followed an unrevised 0.6% rise the prior month. Despite the disappointment, retail sales during the first four months of this [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 10 2006

  U.S. Budget Surplus Doubled in April

  The U.S. federal government ran a budget surplus in April of $118.9B that was more than double the surplus during the same month last year. The surplus improved the FY06 to-date budget deficit to $184.1B versus a deficit of $236.9B [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 10 2006

  Fed Funds Rate Increased to 5.00%

  The Federal Open Market Committee raised the target interest rate for Federal funds 25 basis points to 5.00% at today's meeting. This sixteenth 25 basis point increase since June of 2004 was the result of a unanimous decision and was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 10 2006

  Mortgage Applications Crimped By Higher Rates

  The total number of mortgage applications fell another 5.8% last week. It was the fourth decline during the last five weeks and pulled the opening level in May 2.0% below April which fell 1.1% from the March average. Purchase [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 10 2006

  Fed Funds Rate Increased to 5.00%

  The Federal Open Market Committee raised the target interest rate for Federal funds 25 basis points to 5.00% at today's meeting. This sixteenth 25 basis point increase since June of 2004 was the result of a unanimous decision and was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 09 2006

  Chain Store Sales Fell With Gasoline Prices

  Chain store sales slipped 0.4% last week, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The decline, however, followed several heady gains during April. Therefore, the opening level of May sales was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 09 2006

  Small Business Optimism Recovered

  Small business optimism in April recovered most of the prior month's decline with a 2.1% rise, according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB). During the last ten years there has been a 70% correlation between the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief