Retail gasoline prices rose less than one penny last week to $2.92 per gallon (30.6% y/y). The near-stability followed four consecutive weeks of increase which ranged between nine and thirteen cents per week. Earlier signs of relief [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| May 02 2006Gasoline Prices Stable Last Week, But ...
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| May 02 2006When Shoppers Shop ...
Chain store sales jumped another 0.7% last week and more than recouped the prior period's 0.2% decline, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The late-month recovery lifted April chain store [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| May 02 2006When Shoppers Shop ...
Chain store sales jumped another 0.7% last week and more than recouped the prior period's 0.2% decline, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The late-month recovery lifted April chain store [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| May 01 2006U.S. Construction Again Firm
The March value of construction put in place increased another 0.9% on top of the 1.0% rise during February and for the second month, the gain was double the Consensus expectation for a 0.4% increase. Residential building jumped 1.6% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| May 01 2006ISM Activity & Pricing Indexes Up
The April Composite Index of activity in the factory sector reported by the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) surged to 57.3, well ahead of Consensus expectations for an unchanged reading at 55.0. The figure was the highest since [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| May 01 2006U.S. Income, Spending & Prices Firm in March
Personal income increased 0.8% during March, double the Consensus expectation for a 0.4% rise and followed an unrevised 0.3% increase in February. The increase was the largest for any month since last September. A 5.3% (16.4% y/y) [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| May 01 2006U.S. Income, Spending & Prices Firm in March
Personal income increased 0.8% during March, double the Consensus expectation for a 0.4% rise and followed an unrevised 0.3% increase in February. The increase was the largest for any month since last September. A 5.3% (16.4% y/y) [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 28 2006Employment Cost Index Eased
The employment cost index for private industry workers rose a moderate 0.6% last quarter after a downwardly revised 0.7% increase to close out 2005. Downward revisions to earlier quarters (mostly in benefit costs) resulted in a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 28 2006U.S. Consumer Sentiment Slipped in Late April
Consumer sentiment slipped late this month. The final reading from the University of Michigan's stood a 87.4 versus a preliminary indication of 89.2 posted two weeks ago. Consensus expectations had been for a reading of 89.0. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 28 2006US GDP Growth Back on Track in 1Q
US real growth during 1Q06 rebounded smartly to 4.8% (AR) from a lull the prior quarter at 1.7%, but the two quarter average of growth at 3.2% was somewhat depressed from the 3.9% quarterly average of 2004 & 2005. The 1Q increase [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 28 2006US GDP Growth Back on Track in 1Q
US real growth during 1Q06 rebounded smartly to 4.8% (AR) from a lull the prior quarter at 1.7%, but the two quarter average of growth at 3.2% was somewhat depressed from the 3.9% quarterly average of 2004 & 2005. The 1Q increase [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 26 2006Mortgage Applications Plummet
The total number of mortgage applications dropped 3.7% last week, down hard for the third consecutive period. In April applications are 2.4% below the March average which fell 1.0% from February. Purchase applications fell another [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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