Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Aug 16 2006

  Core CPI Moderate As Energy Costs Jumped, Again

  Consumer prices (CPI-U) during July rose an expected 0.4%, the average rate of monthly increase for the last five months. A somewhat more moderate increase, however, was posted by prices less food & energy. The 0.2% increase compared [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 16 2006

  Core CPI Moderate As Energy Costs Jumped, Again

  Consumer prices (CPI-U) during July rose an expected 0.4%, the average rate of monthly increase for the last five months. A somewhat more moderate increase, however, was posted by prices less food & energy. The 0.2% increase compared [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 10 2006

  U.S. Business Inventories Gain

  Total business inventories in June rose 0.8% in line with consensus expectations after a 1.1% upward revised gain in May. June business sales edged up only 0.2% from a 1.6% rate in the prior month. The inventory/sales ratio moved up [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 10 2006

  U.S. Import Prices Up 0.9%

  Total import prices were up 0.9% in July about matching consensus expectations for an increase of 0.8%. Less petroleum, import prices were down 0.10% from the previous month led by a 0.9% drop in import prices of nonoil industrial [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 10 2006

  U.S. Retail Sales Larger than Expected

  US retail sales in July increased 1.4% from the previous month beating consensus expectations of 0.8%. Nonauto retail sales were also larger than expected, increasing 1.0% on a monthly basis. Consensus expectations for nonauto retail [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 10 2006

  July U.S. Budget Deficit Better Than Expected

  The U.S. federal government ran a budget deficit of $33.2 billion in July, somewhat better than consensus expectations of $44 billion. The July shortfall brought the fiscal year 2006 ten-month total deficit to $239.7 billion compared [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 10 2006

  U.S. Foreign Trade Deficit Improved Slightly

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit improved slightly in June to $64.8 billion from a revised $65.0 billion in May. Consensus expectations had been for a $65.7 billion deficit in June. Total exports rose 2.0% in June (+14.0% y/y) after a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 10 2006

  U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Up Again

  Initial unemployment insurance claims increased 7,000 to 319,000 last week versus consensus expectations of 315,000 but the prior week was revised from 315,000 to 312,000. July claims averaged 314,000 while June averaged 308,000. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 09 2006

  JOLTS: Job Hires and Separations Down

  The job openings rate in June as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) was about unchanged at 2.9%. The rate for the previous month was revised down to 2.8% from 2.9% . The job [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 08 2006

  Federal Funds Rate Steady at 5.25%

  The Federal Open Market Committee held steady the target interest rate for Federal funds at 5.25% at today's meeting. Voting against the decision, after seventeen 25 basis point increases since June 2004, was Jeffrey M. Lacker who [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 08 2006

  Weekly Chain Store Sales Slipped As Gasoline Prices Rose

  Weekly chain store sales slipped 0.2% last week after two weeks of moderate increase, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. Sales in early August started the month 0.4% above the July average [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 08 2006

  Small Business Optimism Recovered

  Small business optimism last month recovered most of the June decline with a 1.4% rise, according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB). Nevertheless, the average level of the NFIB index this year remained 2.5% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief