Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Aug 11 2009

  Gasoline Prices Again Move Higher

  The economy must be improving if gasoline prices are rising. Or is it seasonal strength? The pump price for regular gasoline increased last week to an average $2.56 per gallon, though that still was down a nickel from last month's [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 11 2009

  U.S. Worker Productivity Jumps During 2Q As Trend Improves

  Businesses have managed their businesses well for the weakened economic environment. That's evident in the labor productivity gains during the last three quarters which stand in sharp contrast to the material declines during the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 11 2009

  U.S. Small Business OptimismWeakens Again As Hiring Intentions Remain Depressed

  Times may be improving, but small business' sense of that has sagged of late. The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) indicated that for the second consecutive month small business optimism slipped. The July decline [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 11 2009

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Weakens Again As Hiring Intentions Remain Depressed

  Times may be improving, but small business' sense of that has sagged of late. The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) indicated that for the second consecutive month small business optimism slipped. The July decline [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 10 2009

  Consumer Debt Deleveraging Continues At A Record Pace

  Consumers' near-term worry is about the poor shape of the U.S. economy and what, for many, are balance sheets loaded with too much debt. The longer-term situation is that the consumer spending cycle has passed its peak and is now [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 10 2009

  Consumer Debt Deleveraging Continues At A Record Pace

  Consumers' near-term worry is about the poor shape of the U.S. economy and what, for many, are balance sheets loaded with too much debt. The longer-term situation is that the consumer spending cycle has passed its peak and is now [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 07 2009

  U.S. Payroll Employment Decline Eases While Unemployment Rate Falls

  Slack in the labor market developed less rapidly last month. The Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated that nonfarm payrolls fell 247,000 during July after declines during the prior two months that were revised slightly shallower. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 07 2009

  U.S. Payroll Employment DeclineEases While Unemployment Rate Falls

  Slack in the labor market developed less rapidly last month. The Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated that nonfarm payrolls fell 247,000 during July after declines during the prior two months that were revised slightly shallower. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 06 2009

  U.S. Weekly Claims For Jobless Insurance Inch Lower While Continuing Claims Tick Higher

  Improvement in the U.S. labor market still is evident, but lately it's been a halting trend. The latest figures from the Labor Department indicate that initial claims for unemployment insurance fell last week to 550,000 and more than [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 06 2009

  U.S. Weekly Claims For JoblessInsurance Inch Lower While Continuing Claims Tick Higher

  Improvement in the U.S. labor market still is evident, but lately it's been a halting trend. The latest figures from the Labor Department indicate that initial claims for unemployment insurance fell last week to 550,000 and more than [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 05 2009

  U.S. Factory Inventory Decumulation Eases Somewhat

  An easing rate of inventory decumulation is now playing a part in improving the level of factory sector output. During June, factory sector inventories fell 0.8%, the same as they did in May and that compares with 1.0%+ declines [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 05 2009

  Challenger Layoffs Pick Up Slightly Last Month But Remain Moderate

  The outplacement firm of Challenger, Grey & Christmas indicated that job cut announcements picked up last month. They rose to 97,373 versus the 74,373 jobs lost during June. Nevertheless, the figures remain well below this cycle's [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief