Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Feb 28 2012

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Jump To Record High

  If gasoline prices seem high, they are. Seasonally adjusted prices reached a record high last week. Pump prices for regular gasoline increased another thirteen cents last week to $3.72 per gallon and were up forty three cents versus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 27 2012

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Recover Earlier Decline

  The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that January pending sales of single-family homes improved 2.0% (8.0% y/y) following a lessened 1.9% December drop. The index level of 97.0 (2001=100) was the highest since April of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 27 2012

  NABE Forecasts Moderate Economic Improvement & Low Inflation

  The first look at the economic forecast for 2013 by the National Association for Business Economics indicated a modest pickup in growth and pricing power. In 2013, real GDP growth should average 2.8% versus 2.3% expected for this [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 24 2012

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Improves

  The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment rose in February to 75.3 and was improved from the mid-month reading of 72.5. The figure beat expectations for 72.8 and sentiment stands at its highest level in twelve months. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 24 2012

  U.S. New Home Sales Edge Lower; Recent Months Revised Upward

  Sales were bolstered by extremely warm temperatures, but total new home sales slipped 0.9% last month to 321,000 following four months of sizable gain. The figures for 2H'11 were revised up. Sales beat Consensus expectations for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 23 2012

  FHFA Again Reports Home Price Improvement

  The U.S. House Price Index from the Federal Housing and Finance Agency (FHFA) has risen for two consecutive months as of December. The increases helped lessen the y/y decline to 0.8% from 6.0% earlier in 2011. The greatest y/y [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 23 2012

  U.S. Initial Claims For Jobless Insurance Are Stable And Low

  Job market improvement remains in place. Initial unemployment insurance claims were unchanged last week at 351,000. (The previous week was revised from 348,000). The latest are the lowest figures since March 2008. Claims averaged [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 22 2012

  U.S. Existing Home Sales Rise To New High As Prices Fall

  Sales of existing homes rose in January to a 4.570M annual rate (0.7% y/y) from a revised 4.380M during December, last month reported as 4.610M. The latest was the highest since May 2010. Data back to 2009 were revised. Sales of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 22 2012

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Show More Life

  The consumer still is in a mood to spend. Chain store sales rose 3.0% last week (3.2% y/y) and more-than-recovered the prior week's decline. The increase lifted February sales so far by 0.8% versus January when sales fell 3.3% m/m. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 22 2012

  U.S. Energy Prices Are Driven Higher

  Tensions in the Mideast are having a further effect driving energy prices upward. The price for a barrel of light sweet crude oil jumped last week to $101.80 and remained up sharply from $79.71, the average during the first week of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 21 2012

  U.S. Chicago Fed Index Is Again Positive

  The January National Activity Index (CFNAI) from the Chicago Federal Reserve provides another sign of improving economic momentum. The index slipped to 0.22 from 0.54 in December, which was revised up from 0.17. However, the three- [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 17 2012

  U.S. Leading Indicators Point Toward Continued Recovery

  The Conference Board reported that the Leading Economic Indicator index gained 0.4% during January following a revised 0.5% December rise, last month reported as 0.4%. A 0.5% increase had been expected. The latest rise pulled the six- [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief