Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Dec 22 2011

  U.S. Initial Claims For Jobless Insurance Fall Further

  The labor market showed more improvement last week. Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell to 364,000 from 368,000 (revised from 366,000) during the prior week. The latest reading was the lowest since May 2008. Expectations [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 21 2011

  U.S. Existing Home Sales Add To Earlier Gains; Affordability Hits New High

  Good deals prompt home sales. Such is the message from the National Association of Realtors which reported that November sales of existing homes jumped 4.0% to 4.420M (AR, +12.2% y/y) following a 1.4% October gain. The latest was the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 21 2011

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Decline; Rates Plumb New Low

  Activity in the mortgage market continues to be buoyed by efforts to lower financing costs. The index of total mortgage applications slipped 2.6% last week to 659.3 (March 16, 1990 = 100). The decline would have been greater were it [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 20 2011

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Surge

  This season's holiday selling gained steam last week. Chain store sales jumped 3.4% (4.6% y/y) to the highest level since early-August. During the last ten years there has been a 66% correlation between the y/y change in chain store [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 20 2011

  U.S. Gasoline And Crude Oil Prices Move Lower

  Energy prices were under broad-based pressure last week. The pump price for regular gasoline dropped six cents to $3.23 per gallon. Prices remained the lowest since February when they averaged $3.21. Retail prices usually decline this [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 20 2011

  U.S. Housing Starts Rise With Multi-Family Strength

  Housing activity firmed last month. The level of housing starts overall rose to 685,000 (AR) during November from 627,000 in October, revised down from 628,000 reported last month. Overall starts have risen 20.6% from the low of Q4'10 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 19 2011

  U.S. Home Builders' Index Improves Further

  This Fall has been a good season for home builders according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo report on housing market activity. The Composite Housing Market Index for December rose another two points to 21, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 16 2011

  Philadelphia Fed Business Activity Index Improves

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's General Business Conditions Index rose in December and remained in positive territory. The Index of General Business Conditions rose to 10.3 from an unrevised 3.6 in November. The figures have [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 16 2011

  U.S. CPI Slips As Energy Prices Decline; Core Picks Up

  There's still little pricing power in the U.S. economy. The November Consumer Price Index slipped marginally following a slight October decline. The decline compared with expectations for a 0.1% uptick. Consumer prices less food & [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 15 2011

  U.S. Industrial Production Slips

  Industrial production fell 0.2% during November following an unrevised 0.7% October gain. The latest decline matched Consensus expectations, according to Action Economics. Factory sector output fell 0.4% and reversed the October [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 15 2011

  U.S. Producer Prices Rebound With Food Costs

  The November producer price index for finished goods rebounded 0.3% following an unrevised 0.3% October decline. The figure compared to Consensus expectations for a 0.2% increase, according to the Action Economics survey. The increase [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 15 2011

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Fall Sharply

  In another sign of labor market healing, initial claims for unemployment insurance dropped sharply last week to 366,000 from 385,000 (revised from 382,000) during the week prior. The latest reading was the lowest since May 2008. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief