The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment for March increased to 76.2 from 75.3 in February. The figure compared to expectations for a slight dip to 75.0. An improved reading of current economic conditions led the gain [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Mar 30 2012U.S. Consumer Sentiment Improves
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 30 2012U.S. Personal Income Gain Is Disappointing And Savings Decline
Personal income increased just 0.2% during February after lessened gains of 0.2% and 0.4% during the prior two months. The latest rise missed expectations for a 0.4% gain. Wage & salary disbursements reflected the improved gains in [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 29 2012U.S. 3.0% GDP Growth Estimate Unchanged; Profit Growth Declines
Economic growth of 3.0% (SAAR) last quarter was unrevised, as expected, in the Commerce Department's 3rd estimate. Growth remained the firmest since Q2'10. Despite this slight improvement, annualized corporate profit growth amounted [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 29 2012U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Continue Downward
The job market continued to firm last week. Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell 5,000 to 359,000 during the week ended March 24 from an upwardly revised 364,000 in the previous week. The latest figure was the lowest since [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 28 2012U.S. Mortgage Applications Decline Again With Higher Interest Rates
More of a depressing effect on mortgage loan applications from higher interest rates was evident last week. The index of total mortgage applications fell 2.7% to 663.7 (+36.8% y/y), down for the seventh straight week. Fewer [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 28 2012U.S. Durable Goods Orders Rebound
New orders for durable goods rebounded 2.2% during February following a 3.6% January slump, originally reported as -4.0%. Consensus expectations had been for a 2.7% rise. The increase was roughly consistent with the ISM orders figure [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 27 2012U.S. Consumer Confidence Strengthens Y/Y; Inflation Expectations Rise Sharply As Well
The Conference Board's Index of Consumer Confidence fell in March to 70.2 from a revised 71.6, last month reported as 70.8. The latest two figures were the highest since last February and were up nearly three-quarters from the October [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 27 2012U.S. Gasoline Price Rise Is Relentless
Pump prices for regular gasoline rose another five cents last week to $3.92 per gallon, their highest since last May. Reduced seasonal demand typically fosters lower gasoline prices this time of year, but they haven't followed the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 27 2012U.S. Case-Shiller Home Price Index Continues Lower
Whatever sign of improvement there may be in the latest home sales figures surely reflects price bargains. The seasonally adjusted Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index fell 0.8% in January following an unrevised 1.1% December [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 26 2012U.S. Pending Home Sales Slip
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that February pending sales of single-family homes slipped 0.5 % (+9.2% y/y), continuing its sideways movement since November. The index level of 96.5 (2001=100) nevertheless [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 26 2012U.S. Chicago Fed Index Deteriorates M/M But Trend Is Positive
The February National Activity Index (CFNAI) from the Chicago Federal Reserve reversed its earlier improvement and returned to negative territory. The index fell to -0.09 from 0.33 in January which was revised higher, as was [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 23 2012U.S. New Home Sales Edge Lower Again But Prices Firm
New home sales slipped last month. Moreover, what's been a sideways trend in new home sales contrasts with the improvement in existing home sales demonstrated in Wednesday's report. Sales of new homes declined 1.6% during February to [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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