Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jan 04 2012

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Reach Record During Holiday Season

  Shoppers felt the urge to spend (a lot) during the holiday season. Chain store sales jumped another 1.2% last week (5.3% y/y) to a record high. During the last ten years there has been a 66% correlation between the y/y change in chain [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 04 2012

  U.S. Crude Oil & Gasoline Prices Rise

  Supply uncertainties recently increased petroleum prices. The price for a barrel of light sweet crude rose last week to $99.77 and remained up sharply from $79.71 averaged during the first week of October. Yesterday, the price jumped [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 04 2012

  Intuit Small Business Series Increases Further

  Intuit compiles data covering small business employment. Yesterday it reported improvement in December. Last month's employment index rose 0.3%. That was a bit slower than earlier gains of 0.4% but it raised the y/y increase to a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 03 2012

  U.S. Construction Spending Gain Is Better-Than-Expected

  The level of building activity continues to improve, moderately. Construction spending during November rose 1.2% following a 0.2% October slip, revised from the 0.8% gain reported initially. However, September's gain was revised [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 03 2012

  U.S. ISM Factory Index Reaches A Six-Month High

  Further improvement in the factory sector is in evidence. The Composite Index of factory sector activity from the Institute For Supply Management rose to a six-month high of 53.9, from an unrevised 52.7 in November. The latest reading [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 23 2011

  U.S. New Home Sales Increase But Average Price Lowest Since 2003

  Total new home sales rose 1.6% last month to 315,000 (AR). The rise followed an unrevised 1.3% October gain but September's increase was raised sharply to 5.5%. Sales roughly matched Consensus expectations for 312,000. Sales continue [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 23 2011

  U.S. Durable Goods Orders Rise As Aircraft Soars

  New orders for durable goods increased 3.8% last month following little change during October, initially reported as -0.7%. Transportation orders jumped 14.7% (28.3% y/y) as orders for aircraft & parts rose by more-than-one half [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 23 2011

  U.S. Personal Income & Spending Post A Negligible Gain

  November was a month of depressed gains for consumer income & outlays. Personal income ticked up just 0.1% following an unrevised 0.4% October increase. The figure disappointed Consensus expectations for a 0.3% rise. A slip in wage & [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 22 2011

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Continues To Improve

  The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment for December rose to 69.9 from 67.7 at mid-month and from 64.1 in November. The latest number was better than Consensus expectations for 68.0 and it was the fourth consecutive [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 22 2011

  U.S. Leading Indicators Continue Upward

  The Conference Board reported that its Leading Economic Indicators index rose 0.5% during November following an unrevised 0.9% October jump. The gain beat the Consensus forecast for a 0.3% increase. The breadth of increase amongst the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 22 2011

  U.S. Chicago Fed Index Backpedals

  The Chicago Fed's National Activity Index (CFNAI) fell during November to -0.37 from -0.11 in October, which was little-revised. The three-month moving average was unchanged at -0.24, its lowest level since June. The figures have been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 22 2011

  U.S. GDP Growth Is Revised Lower Again

  Real GDP grew at a revised 1.8% annual rate in Q3 versus the earlier estimate of 2.0% growth. The figure fell short of Consensus expectations for an unrevised 2.0% rate of growth. Nevertheless, growth last quarter remained the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief