Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 22 2012

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Reach Another Low

  The labor market continues to show life. That's the message from last week's decline in initial claims for unemployment insurance to 348,000 from 353,000 during the previous period, initially estimated at 351,000. Claims averaged [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 21 2012

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Drop With Interest Rate Rise

  Higher interest rates are having a quick effect on mortgage loan applications. The index of total mortgage applications fell 7.4% last week to 681.9 (+30% y/y), down for the sixth consecutive week. Applications to refinance fell 9.3% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 21 2012

  U.S. Existing Home Sales Slip As Prices Tick Up

  Sales of existing homes edged down in February to a 4.590M annual rate (+8.8% y/y) from a revised 4.630M during January, last month reported as 4.570M. Despite the edge down, sales remained near the highest since May 2010. Sales of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 20 2012

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Strengthen

  Chain store sales rose 0.9% last week to the highest level since the holiday shopping season. That was enough to raise the year-to-year increase to 3.3%. During the last ten years there has been a 72% correlation between the y/y [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 20 2012

  U.S. Gasoline Price Increase Discourages Driving

  Pump prices for regular gasoline rose another four cents. Last week's gain to $3.87 per gallon pulled them up sixty-four cents (19.8%) during the last four weeks to their highest since last May. Reduced seasonal demand typically [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 20 2012

  U.S. Housing Starts Stutter But Permits Gain

  Housing starts fell last month by 1.1% (+34.7% y/y) to 698,000 from a revised 706,000 in January, initially reported as 699,000. Expectations had been for 697,000 starts for February. The performance amongst regions was mixed. Starts [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 19 2012

  U.S. Home Builders' Index Is Firm But Unchanged M/M

  The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo reported that its index of housing market activity remained at its highest level since June of 2007. The Composite Housing Market Index for March was unchanged at 28 following [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 16 2012

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Disappoints

  The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment for mid-March fell to 74.3 from 75.3 in February. The figure compared to expectations for improvement to 76.0. A decline in consumer expectations led this month's weakness with [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 16 2012

  U.S. Industrial Output Is Stable; Factory Output Gains

  The weather can immensely impact factory output, and during the last few months that was notably true. Industrial production was unchanged last month (4.0% y/y) following a revised 0.4% January rise, initially reported as no change. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 16 2012

  U.S. Total CPI Rise Strengthens; Core Increase Eases

  Consumer prices rose during February by the most since last April. The CPI matched expectations and increased 0.4% following a 0.2% January rise. The quicker rate of increase was due to a 3.2% gain in energy prices. Food prices ticked [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 15 2012

  Philadelphia Fed Business Activity Index Moves Up

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's General Business Conditions Index rose in March to its highest level since last April. The index rose to 12.5 from 10.2 in February and the figures have been positive for six consecutive months. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 15 2012

  Empire State Factory Index Improves Further

  The Empire State Factory Index of General Business Conditions for March rose to 20.21 from February's unrevised 19.53. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York indicated that the index remained at its highest level since June 2010. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief