Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 14 2012

  U.S. Business Inventory Growth Continues Moderate

  Yesterday, the U.S. Commerce Department reported that business inventories rose 0.7% during January following an upwardly revised 0.6% December gain. Business sales increased a more moderate 0.4% after a 0.9% December rise. As a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 14 2012

  U.S. Import Prices Again Firm Due To Oil

  U.S. import prices rose 0.4% (5.5% y/y) last month after a revised no change during January, initially pegged as 0.3%. A 0.6% February rise had been expected. Year-to-year, higher oil prices and the lower value of the dollar raised [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 13 2012

  FOMC Assessment of Economy Improves; Rates To Stay Low

  As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee today left the Federal funds rate in a "range from 0 to 1/4 percent." The Fed funds rate has remained unchanged since late-2008 at its lowest level ever. The discount rate also was left [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 13 2012

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Move Higher While Natural Gas Plunges

  Regular gasoline prices rose another four cents last week to $3.83 per gallon. Reduced seasonal demand typically fosters lower gasoline prices this time of year, and they haven't followed the norm. Haver Analytics' seasonally-adjusted [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 13 2012

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Nears Recovery High

  The National Federation of Independent Business indicated that its February index of small business optimism was 94.3 versus 93.9 in January. The latest was the highest in a year and the best since December 2007. The percentage of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 13 2012

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Ease

  Recent labor market improvement hesitated as indicated by the slip in the January job openings rate. The figure slipped to 2.5% from the recovery's high of 2.6%. The figures in the Bureau of Labor Statistics Job Openings & Labor [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 13 2012

  U.S. Retail Sales Driven By Autos & Gasoline

  Retail sales jumped 1.1% (6.5% y/y) during February following upwardly revised gains of 0.6% and 0.3% during the prior two months. The improvement about matched Consensus expectations for a 1.1% rise according to Action Economics. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 13 2012

  U.S. Retail Sales Driven By Autos & Gasoline

  Retail sales jumped 1.1% (6.5% y/y) during February following upwardly revised gains of 0.6% and 0.3% during the prior two months. The improvement about matched Consensus expectations for a 1.1% rise according to Action Economics. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 12 2012

  U.S. Budget Deficit Is Reduced By Spending Restraint

  During February, the Federal Government ran a budget deficit of $231.7B, according to figures released by the U.S. Treasury and the Office of Management and Budget. So far this fiscal year, the deficit totaled $580.8B, down from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 09 2012

  U.S. Trade Deficit Widens With Higher Oil Values

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit in January widened to $52.6B versus $50.4B in December, revised from $48.8B. Expectations had been for a January deficit of $49.0B, according to Action Economics. Exports rose 1.4% (7.7% y/y) but imports [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 09 2012

  U.S. Jobs Growth & Unemployment Rate Are Stable

  Labor market improvement may have hit a moderate & steady cruising speed. Nonfarm payrolls grew 227,000 (1.5% y/y) during February following a 284,000 January rise and a 223,000 December increase, both of which were revised up [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 08 2012

  U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Are Still Near Four Year Low

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance edged up during the week ended March 3 to 362,000 from 354,000 during the previous period, initially estimated at 351,000. Claims averaged 355,000 (-10.4% y/y) during the last four weeks. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief