Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 08 2012

  Challenger Indicates A Slight Decline in Job Cuts

  The outplacement firm of Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that job cut announcements during February slipped to 51,728 and remained near the earlier low. During the last ten years there has been a 67% correlation between the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 08 2012

  U.S. Consumer Credit Outstanding Continues Rising

  Reported late yesterday, consumer credit outstanding jumped another $17.8B (4.3% y/y) during January after a $16.3B December increase, revised from $19.3B. A $10.0B increase had been expected by Action Economics. It raised credit [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2012

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Slip W/W But Surge Y/Y

  The index of total mortgage applications slipped 1.2% last week to 754.4 (+46.7% y/y), down for the fourth consecutive week. Nevertheless, applications were up by nearly one-half versus last year. Applications to refinance fell 2.0% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2012

  ADP Report Shows Job Market Improvement

  The job market continues to improve at a moderate rate. Private nonfarm payrolls rose 216,000 last month after rising 173,000 during January, revised from 170,000 reported last month. Earlier figures were revised due to updated [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 06 2012

  U.S. Chain Store Sales' Forward Momentum Improves

  Spend money: Consumers tend to do just that. And lately they've been at it wholeheartedly. Chain store sales rose 1.3% last week (1.7% y/y) and the increase lifted early-March spending 1.5% above the February average. The year-to-year [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 06 2012

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Continue Higher

  It's been a relentless trudge upward. Pump prices for regular gasoline increased seven cents last week to $3.79 per gallon and were up fifty cents versus early-January. Moreover, retail prices typically decline this time of year with [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 05 2012

  U.S. Factory Orders Fall While Inventories Build

  Orders in the manufacturing sector fell 1.0% (+7.4% y/y) during January and reversed much of a little-revised 1.4% December jump. The decline owed to a 3.7% fall in orders for durable goods. That was little-revised from the advance [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 05 2012

  U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Reaches 12-Month High

  Service sector activity continued to improve last month and was at its highest level since last February. The Composite Index for the service and construction sectors from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) rose to 57.3 in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 02 2012

  U.S. Vehicle Sales Fueled Again By Cars

  Sales of light motor vehicles continued on the fast track last month. Unit vehicle sales rose 6.5% m/m to 15.10M (AR) during February according to Autodata Corporation. That sales rate was up 13.7% versus one year earlier and was the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 01 2012

  U.S. Initial Claims For Unemployment Insurance At Four Year Low

  Job market improvement is continuing. Initial unemployment insurance claims slipped last week at 351,000. The previous week was revised slightly higher to 353,000. The recent figures are the lowest since March 2008. Claims averaged [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 01 2012

  U.S. Construction Spending Slips Following Earlier Strength

  After several months of strong increase, construction spending slipped in January. The 0.1% decline followed a 1.4% December rise and a 1.9% November gain that was revised up sharply. Gains in the Summer also were solid. Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 01 2012

  U.S. ISM Factory Index Slips As Prices Recover

  Forward momentum in factory sector activity waned a bit last month. The Composite Index of industrial sector activity from the Institute For Supply Management slipped to 52.4 from an unrevised 54.1 in January. The latest reading [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief