Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jun 26 2012

  U.S. Case-Shiller Home Price Index Strengthens

  Earlier pressure on home prices has given way to an improving trend. The seasonally adjusted Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index rose another 0.7% (-1.9% y/y) during April. That repeated its March rise, revised up from 0.1%. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 26 2012

  U.S. Petroleum Prices Slide Yet Again

  Weak demand for petroleum products continued to depress prices last week.The pump price of regular gasoline declined nine cents to $3.44 per gallon. Since early April prices have fallen fifty cents (-12.8%). Haver Analytics' [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 25 2012

  U.S. New Home Sales Improve; Prices Decline

  The housing market is on the mend. New home sales jumped 7.6% in May to 369,000 following a 1.2% April decline. However, March sales were revised up. May sales beat consensus expectations for 346,000. A one-third rise (127.8% y/y) in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 25 2012

  U.S. Chicago Fed Index Is Negative Again

  The May National Activity Index (CFNAI) from the Chicago Federal Reserve dropped to -0.45 from a revised 0.08 in April, reported as 0.11 last month. Moreover, the three-month moving deteriorated to -0.34, its lowest reading since June [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 25 2012

  U.S. Chicago Fed Index Is Negative Again

  The May National Activity Index (CFNAI) from the Chicago Federal Reserve to -0.45 from a revised 0.08 in April, last month reported as 0.11. Moreover, the three-month moving deteriorated to -0.34, its lowest reading since June of last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 22 2012

  FHFA Home Price Index Improves Again

  The U.S. House Price Index from the Federal Housing and Finance Agency (FHFA) rose 0.8% during April following a 1.6% March jump. It was the third consecutive monthly gain and lifted the y/y increase to 3.0%. That gain followed four [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 21 2012

  U.S. Leading Indicators Improve

  The Leading Economic Indicator index from the Conference Board rose 0.3% last month after an unrevised 0.1% slip during April. A 0.1% increase had been expected. An improved 70% of the component series rose last month. That remained [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 21 2012

  U.S. Existing Home Sales Slip But Prices Rebound Further

  Sales of existing homes slipped 1.5% last month to a 4.550 annual rate (9.6% y/y) from an unrevised 4.620M during April. Sales of existing single-family homes alone fell 1.0% to 4.050M, up 10.4% y/y. (These data have a longer history [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 21 2012

  Philadelphia Fed Activity Index Slumps

  Another sign of economic weakening came today from the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank. Its General Business Conditions Index fell sharply this month to -16.6 from an unrevised -5.8 in May and compared to an expected 0.5. The figure [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 21 2012

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Slip W/W But Trend Higher

  There's further evidence that the rate of labor market improvement has slowed. The four-week moving average of initial claims for unemployment insurance rose to 386,250 last week, their highest since December. Initial claims for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 20 2012

  FOMC Sees Moderate Economic Growth and Less Inflation

  As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee today left the Federal funds rate in a "range from 0 to 1/4 percent." The Fed funds rate has remained unchanged since late-2008 at its lowest level ever. The discount rate also was left [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 20 2012

  U.S. Mass Layoffs Trend Lower

  Mass layoffs in the U.S. during May fell slightly following a sharp April increase. The Labor Department reported this morning that layoffs of 50 or more persons from a single firm slipped a seasonally adjusted 0.6% to 1,380 following [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief