Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 12 2013

  U.S. Manpower Employment Outlook Survey Is Firm

  The near-term employment environment should maintain its recent strength, according to Manpower, Inc. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the hiring index did slip to 11, but that left the 2013 outlook average up from 2012. On a not [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 12 2013

  U.S. Petroleum Prices Retreat But Natural Gas Prices Firm

  The pump price for a gallon of regular gasoline fell by 5 cents last week to $3.71 per gallon (-3.1% y/y) and added to its 2 cent decline during the prior week. Nevertheless, prices have risen 46 cents (14.0%) since the mid-December [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 12 2013

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Continues Sideways Move

  According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the January Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report, the job openings rate ticked up to 2.7% from an unrevised 2.6% in December. However, the figure remained slightly below [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 12 2013

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Improves Again

  The National Federation of Independent Business reported that its February Small Business Optimism Index rose for the third straight month. However, the advance in the seasonally adjusted index to 90.8 from 88.9 in January still left [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 12 2013

  U.S. Manpower Employment Outlook Survey Is Firm

  The near-term employment environment should maintain its recent strength, according to Manpower, Inc. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the hiring index did slip to 11, but that left the 2013 outlook average up from 2012. On a not [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 11 2013

  U.S. Breadth of Job Increase is Improved

  Since 1990, diffusion indexes of payroll employment have moved with the change in overall employment. Therefore, recent moderate payroll gains are well-grounded. For private nonfarm production industries, 63.3% added to payrolls last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 08 2013

  U.S. Employment Jumps; Jobless Rate Reaches Cycle Low

  The rate of job market improvement picked up a bit last month. Payroll employment gained 236,000 (1.5% y/y) after a 119,000 January increase (revised from 157,000) and a 219,000 December rise (revised from 196,000). Consensus had been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2013

  U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Retreat

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell to 340,000 (-9.1% y/y) during the week ended March 2 versus 347,000 a week earlier (revised from 344,000). Consensus expectations were for 355,000 claims. The four week moving average of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2013

  U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Retreat

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell to 340,000 (-9.1% y/y) during the week ended March 2 versus 347,000 a week earlier (revised from 344,000). Consensus expectations were for 355,000 claims. The four week moving average of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2013

  U.S. Consumer Borrowing Remains Strong

  The consumer is showing an aggressive interest in borrowing, according to the Federal Reserve. Consumer credit outstanding grew at a $16.1B annual rate during January following a little-revised $15.1B December gain. Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2013

  U.S. Worker Productivity Decline Is Little Revised; Factory Sector Much Stronger

  Nonfarm business sector productivity for Q4'12 declined 1.9% (SAAR, +0.6% y/y). That was hardly revised from the preliminary report of a 2.0% drop so it helped drive up costs. For the year productivity grew 0.7%, the same as in 2011. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2013

  Challenger Job Cuts Rise Slightly But Hiring Surges

  The outplacement firm of Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that 40,430 job cuts were announced during January. The latest level was up slightly from December but still near the economic recovery low. During the last ten years [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief