Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 19 2013

  U.S. Housing Starts & Building Permits Recover

  Last month saw a firming in home building activity. Total housing starts ticked up 0.8% (27.7% y/y) to 917,000 (AR) following a decline to 910,000 during January, initially reported as 890,000. The latest figure roughly matched the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 18 2013

  U.S. Home Builders Index Slips Again But Traffic Picks Up

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo fell to 44 this month following a downwardly revised February reading of 46. Expectations were for 47 in March. Nevertheless, the index [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 18 2013

  Empire State Factory Index Remains Positive

  The Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported that the Empire State Factory Index of General Business Conditions held above break-even in March, for the second consecutive month. The latest reading of 9.24 dipped from 10.04 in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 15 2013

  U.S. Industrial Production Recovers With Across-the-Board Gains

  Industrial production jumped 0.7% (2.5% y/y) during February following a 0.1% January uptick, earlier reported as a 0.1% dip. A 0.4% gain had been expected in the Action Economics survey. Firmer factory sector production led the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 15 2013

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Backpedals

  The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment in mid-March retreated to 71.8 (-5.8% y/y) from 77.6 in February. The latest was the lowest level since December 2011. The figure remained down versus the November high of 82.7 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 15 2013

  U.S. CPI Driven Up By Rebound in Energy Prices

  The consumer price index jumped 0.7% (2.0% y/y) during February following two months of having been unchanged. Expectations were for a 0.5% rise. Prices excluding food and energy matched expectations and rose 0.2% (2.0% y/y). The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 14 2013

  U.S. Current Account Deficit Declines Again

  The U.S. current account deficit lessened at the end of last year to $110.4B from $112.4B in Q3. A deeper deficit of $113.0B had been expected. The easing left the deficit to GDP ratio at 2.8%, its least in roughly three years. For [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 14 2013

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Post An Unexpected Decline

  Signs of improvement in the U.S. labor market are continuing to surface.Initial claims for jobless insurance fell to 332,000 (-8.5% y/y) during the week ended March 9 versus 342,000 a week earlier (revised from 342,000). Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 14 2013

  U.S. PPI Led Higher By Energy Prices; Elsewhere Inflation is Moderate

  The producer price index for finished goods gained 0.2% last month (1.8% y/y), the same as during January. The latest rise matched expectations. Also, as expected, there was a 0.2% gain (1.7% y/y) in prices excluding food & energy [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 13 2013

  U.S. Import Prices Jump With Higher Oil Costs

  Prices in the U.S. foreign trade sector increased during February, for the second consecutive month. Import prices jumped 1.1% (-0.3% y/y), about double the unrevised 0.6% January rise. The Action Economics survey looked for prices to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 13 2013

  U.S. Business Inventories Jump And Raise I/S Ratio

  All of a sudden, business inventories reversed their prior moderation and jumped in January. Total business inventories surged 1.0% (5.6% y/y) during January following an upwardly revised 0.3% December rise. The latest was the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 13 2013

  U.S. Retail Spending Is Strong

  The consumer regained the inclination to spend last month. February retail sales increased 1.1% (4.6% y/y) following a 0.2% January uptick, earlier reported as 0.1%. The latest rise exceeded expectations for a 0.5% gain, according to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief