Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 07 2013

  U.S. Trade Deficit Deteriorates

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit during January deepened to $44.4 from $38.1B in December, revised from $38.5B. A $43.0B deficit had been expected. The deterioration was due to a 1.8% increase (-0.9% y/y) in imports set against a 1.2% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2013

  U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Retreat

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell to 340,000 (-9.1% y/y) during the week ended March 2 versus 347,000 a week earlier (revised from 344,000). Consensus expectations were for 355,000 claims. The four week moving average of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 06 2013

  U.S. Factory Orders Decline As Inventories Gain

  Orders to all manufacturers fell 2.0% (+0.3% y/y) following a 1.3% December rise, revised from 1.8%. The decline roughly matched expectations. A 4.9% shortfall (-0.8% y/y) in January durable goods orders, little-revised from the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 06 2013

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Jump As Interest Rates Dip

  The Mortgage Bankers Association index of total mortgage applications rebounded 14.8% (14.5% y/y) last week to the highest level since the third week of January. Home purchase applications were strong and posted a 15.0% advance (17.3% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 06 2013

  U.S. Payroll Growth in ADP Survey Remains Firm

  Nonfarm private sector payrolls increased 198,000 during February according to the ADP/Moody's National Employment Report. The gain followed a 215,000 January increase, initially reported as 192,000. Figures for all of last year were [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 05 2013

  U.S. Home Prices Continue Higher

  The latest report from CoreLogic indicated that home prices gained 0.7% during January after a 0.2% December rise. These gains lifted the y/y increase to 9.7%, the strongest rise since early-2006. When seasonally adjusted by Haver [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 05 2013

  Chain Store Sales Recover

  The latest report from the International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs indicated that chain store sales ticked up 0.2% last week (1.8% y/y) to the highest level since early-January. That places sales 1.0% above the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 05 2013

  U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Inches Higher

  The Composite Index for the service and construction sectors from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) improved to 56.0 last month from 55.2 during January. Expectations had been for 55.0. Since the series' inception in 1997 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 05 2013

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Retrace Earlier Increase

  The pump price for a gallon of regular gasoline backpedaled by two cents last week to $3.76 per gallon (-0.9% y/y) following the prior week's three cent rise. It was the first weekly easing in prices since December. Nevertheless, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 04 2013

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Price Changes Are Mixed

  What earlier was uniform strength in commodity prices has become mixed. The latest industrial commodity price index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) slipped during the last two weeks from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 01 2013

  U.S. Vehicle Sales Remain Strong

  For the last four months, vehicle sales have been firm. Unit sales of light motor vehicles during February ticked up 0.6% m/m (6.1% y/y) to 15.38M (SAAR) according to the Autodata Corporation. Sales have been roughly stable at their [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 01 2013

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Continues To Strengthen

  The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment in February rose to 77.6 (3.1% y/y) from 73.8 in January. The mid-February reading was 76.3. Despite the gain, the figure remained down versus the November high of 82.7 and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief