Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Aug 25 2016

  U.S. Durable Goods Orders Increase Is Broad-Based

  New orders for durable goods rose 4.4% during July (-3.3% y/y) following a 4.2% June decline, revised from -3.9%. A 3.3% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The rise in orders was led by a 10.5% jump [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 24 2016

  U.S. FHFA House Price Index Loses Momentum

  The Federal Housing Finance Agency's (FHFA) index of U.S. house prices rose a modest 0.2% in June for the third consecutive month. While the y/y change of 5.6% was fairly steady, the three month gain of 2.7% (AR) was the softest since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 24 2016

  U.S. Existing Home Sales and Prices Weaken Unexpectedly

  Sales of existing homes declined 3.2% (-1.6% y/y) during July to 5.390 million units (AR) after an unrevised June rise to 5.570 million. The decline erased the increases during the prior three months. Expectations had been for 5.53 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 23 2016

  U.S. Petroleum Prices Increase

  Regular gasoline prices averaged $2.19 per gallon (-16.8% y/y) last week following two weeks at $2.15, according to the U.S. Department of Energy. Prices were down versus a 2014 high of $3.71 per gallon. Haver Analytics constructs [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 23 2016

  U.S. New Home Sales Surge While Prices Ease

  Sales of new single-family homes increased 12.4% (31.3% y/y) to 654,000 (SAAR) during July from 582,000 in June, revised from 592,000. It was the highest level of sales since October 2007. Sales of 580,000 had been expected in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 23 2016

  Philadelphia Fed Index of Nonmanufacturing Business Activity Steadies Below Earlier Highs

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia reported that its August Index of Nonmanufacturing Sector Activity at the company level remained stable. The index level of 19.5 has been little changed for six months. It remains down sharply, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 22 2016

  Chicago Fed National Activity Index Firms

  The National Activity Index from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago increased to 0.27 during July from 0.05 in June, revised from 0.16. It was the strongest reading in twelve months. The three-month moving average improved to -0.10, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 19 2016

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Improve

  Prices in the industrial sector are drawing support from the improvement in factory sector activity. Since December, manufacturing sector production has risen 0.6% following last year's 0.3% decline from December-to-December. That [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 19 2016

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Improve

  Prices in the industrial sector are drawing support from the improvement in factory sector activity. Since December, manufacturing sector production has risen 0.6% following last year's 0.3% decline from December-to-December. That [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 19 2016

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Strengthen

  Prices in the industrial sector are drawing support from the improvement in factory sector activity. Through July, manufacturing sector production has risen 0.6% following last year's 0.3% decline from December-to-December. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 18 2016

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Rise

  The Conference Board's Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators increased 0.4% during July (1.2% y/y) following an unrevised 0.3% June gain. It was the third rise in the last four months. Expectations had been for a 0.3% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 18 2016

  Philadelphia Fed Business Conditions Survey Recovers

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve reported that its General Factory Sector Business Conditions Index improved in August to 2.0 from an unrevised -2.9 in July. This latest positive reading compares with negative figures throughout most [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief