Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Aug 18 2016

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Decline

  The labor market remains firm. Initial unemployment insurance claims fell to 262,000 (-5.8% y/y) during the week ended August 13 following unrevised claims of 266,000 in the prior week. Claims remained near the lowest level since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 17 2016

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Fall

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Market Volume Index declined 4.0% (+31.5% y/y) last week following a 7.1% rise. Purchase applications fell 3.9% (+9.6% y/y), and have been declining steadily since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 16 2016

  U.S. Industrial Production Increase Is Broad-Based

  Industrial output increased 0.7% during July (-0.5% y/y) following a 0.4% June gain, revised from 0.6%. A 0.3% rise in output had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Factory sector production rose 0.5% last month [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 16 2016

  U.S. Petroleum Prices Firm

  Regular gasoline prices remained steady last week and averaged $2.15 per gallon (-20.9% y/y). Prices were 25 cents lower than early-June, according to the U.S. Department of Energy. Prices were down versus a 2014 high of $3.71 per [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 16 2016

  U.S. Industrial Production Increase Is Broad-Based

  Industrial output increased 0.7% during July (-0.5% y/y) following a 0.4% June gain, revised from 0.6%. A 0.3% rise in output had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Factory sector production rose 0.5% last month [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 16 2016

  U.S. Housing Starts Improve Further

  Housing starts increased 2.1% during July to 1.211 million units (SAAR) from 1.186 million in June, revised from 1.189 million. It was the highest level since February and 5.6% higher than one year earlier. Expectations were for 1.18 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 16 2016

  U.S. CPI Remains Unchanged; Core Price Increase Slows

  Pricing power waned during July. The consumer price index remained unchanged (0.8% y/y), as expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey, following two months of 0.2% increase. Prices excluding food & energy nudged 0.1% higher [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 15 2016

  U.S. Home Builders Index Recovers

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo improved to 60 during August from 58 in July, revised from 59. The NAHB figures are seasonally adjusted. During the last ten years there has [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 15 2016

  Empire State Factory Sector Activity Index Declines

  The Empire State Factory Index of General Business Conditions declined during August to -4.21, the lowest level in three months. Expectations had been for 1.3 in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The data are reported by the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 12 2016

  Business Inventories Increase Slightly; Sales Jump

  Total business inventories edged 0.2% higher (0.5% y/y) during June following an unrevised 0.2% increase in May. Total business sales strengthened 1.2% (-0.6% y/y) after a 0.3% rise, revised from 0.2%. Retail inventories rose 0.5% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 12 2016

  U.S. Producer Prices Unexpectedly Decline

  The headline Final Demand Producer Price Index declined 0.4% (-0.2% y/y) during July following an unrevised 0.5% June rise. It was the first decline since March. A 0.1% rise had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 12 2016

  U.S. Retail Sales Remain Unchanged; Non-Auto Sales Decline

  Total retail sales & spending at restaurants were virtually unchanged during July (2.3% y/y) following a 0.8% June rise, revised from 0.6%. Consensus expectations had been for 0.4% growth in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Auto [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief