Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Sep 28 2016

  U.S. Durable Goods Orders Are Little Changed

  New orders for durable goods were fairly stable during August (-1.3% y/y) following a 3.6% July increase, revised from 4.4%. A 1.4% decline had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Orders for transportation equipment [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 27 2016

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Improves to Expansion High

  The Conference Board reported that's its Consumer Confidence index increased 2.3% (1.5% y/y) to 104.1 during September following a 5.3% jump in August. It was the highest level since August 2007. A 1.9% rise had been expected in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 27 2016

  U.S. Natural Gas Prices Increase; Petroleum Prices Steady

  Natural gas prices remained strong last week and increased to $3.07 per mmbtu (19.4% y/y). It was the highest level since December 2014, according to the U.S. Department of Energy. Prices were fairly steady at $3.05 yesterday. Regular [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 26 2016

  Dallas Fed Factory Sector Activity Improves

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas reported that its general activity index of factory sector activity in Texas remained negative during September. However, the figure at -3.7 was improved versus the low of -34.6 in January. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 26 2016

  U.S. New Home Sales & Prices Decline

  The new home market has weakened recently. Sales of new single-family homes declined 7.6% during August (+20.6% y/y) to 609,000 (SAAR) from 659,000 in July, revised from 654,000. Sales of 597,000 had been expected in the Action [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 22 2016

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Near 40-Year Low

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance declined to 252,000 (-7.0% y/y) in the week ending September 17 from an unrevised 260,000 in the prior week. The figure was near the lowest level since October 1973. The four-week moving [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 22 2016

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Decline

  The Conference Board's Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators fell 0.2% during August (+1.1% y/y) following a 0.5% July gain, revised from 0.4%. It was the first decline in three months. Expectations had been for no change in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 22 2016

  U.S. Existing Home Sales Decline

  Sales of existing homes fell 0.9% (+0.8% y/y) during August to 5.330 million units after 3.4% July decline to 5.380 million units, revised from 5.390 million. Expectations had been for 5.45 million sales in the Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 22 2016

  U.S. FHFA House Price Index Momentum Eases

  The Federal Housing Finance Agency's (FHFA) index of U.S. house prices increased 0.5% during July following a 0.3% June gain, revised from 0.2%. While the y/y change of 5.8% was fairly steady, the three month gain of 4.2% (AR) was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 22 2016

  Chicago Fed National Activity Index Deteriorates

  The National Activity Index from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago declined to -0.55 during August from 0.24 in July, revised from 0.27. It was the weakest reading in three months. The three-month moving average was little changed [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 21 2016

  FOMC Leaves Fed Funds Rate Unchanged; Adjusts Growth Expectation Downward

  At today's meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, the fed funds rate was left unchanged in the range of 0.25%-0.50%, as expected. The commentary in today's release was much the same as after the last meeting. Improvement in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 21 2016

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Decline

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Market Volume Index declined 7.3% last week (+16.4% y/y) to the lowest level in four weeks. Purchase applications fell 6.8% (+3.2% y/y) following the prior week's 8.6% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief