Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Nov 08 2016

  U.S. Energy Prices Remain Under Pressure

  Prices in the energy sector remained under pressure last week. Natural gas prices declined to $2.43 per mmbtu last week, prices have fallen from $3.15 just three weeks ago, and equaled the lowest level since early June. They remained [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 08 2016

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Improve While Layoffs Decline Sharply

  The labor market improved further during September. The total job openings rate increased to 3.7% from an unrevised to 3.6% in August. It remained down. however, from the record high of 3.9% in July. The private sector job openings [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 08 2016

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Improves

  The National Federation of Independent Business reported that its Small Business Optimism Index increased 0.9% during October to 94.9 following two months of slight decline. Optimism remained down 5.4% versus its peak in December [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 07 2016

  U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Eases

  Consumer credit outstanding increased $19.3 billion (6.5% y/y) during September following a $26.8 billion August rise, revised from $25.9 billion. An $18.0 billion increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 07 2016

  U.S. Labor Market Conditions Index Improves

  The Labor Market Conditions Index (LMCI) from the Federal Reserve Board includes 19 indicators of labor market activity, covering the broad categories of unemployment and underemployment. These include jobs, workweeks, wages, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 04 2016

  U.S. Payroll Increase Fades; Earnings Growth Improves

  Nonfarm payroll employment increased 161,000 (1.7% y/y) during October following revised gains of 191,000 and 176,000 in September and August. These had been reported as 156,000 and 167,000, respectively. A 174,000 rise in employment [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 04 2016

  U.S. Payroll Increase Fades; Earnings Growth Improves

  Nonfarm payroll employment increased 161,000 (1.7% y/y) during October following revised gains of 191,000 and 176,000 in September and August. These had been reported as 156,000 and 167,000, respectively. A 174,000 rise in employment [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 03 2016

  Challenger Survey Layoff Announcements Backpedal

  The outplacement firm of Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that job cut announcements during October declined to 30,740 (-39.1% y/y) following September's increase to 44,324. It was the lowest level of job cut announcements since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 03 2016

  U.S. Factory Orders and Shipments Trend Higher

  Manufacturing sector orders improved 0.3% during September following a 0.4% increase in August, revised from 0.2%. Three month growth rose to 8.4%. New orders for durable goods declined 0.3% (+1.4% y/y), which was revised from the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 03 2016

  U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Backpedals; Prices Improve

  The Composite Index of Nonmanufacturing Sector Business Activity from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) fell to 54.8 during October from an unrevised 57.1 in September. The decline disappointed expectations for 56.0 in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 03 2016

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Rebound

  Initial unemployment insurance claims rose to 265,000 (-4.7% y/y) during the week ended October 29 following an unrevised decline to 258,000 in the week prior. The four-week moving average of claims rose to 257,750, but remained near [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 03 2016

  U.S. Productivity Growth Strengthens

  Growth in nonfarm output per hour during Q3'16 improved to 3.1% (0.0% y/y) after a 0.2% Q2 decline, revised from -0.6%. A 1.8% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. It was the strongest rise in two years. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief