Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jan 09 2017

  U.S. Labor Market Conditions Index Turns Negative

  The Labor Market Conditions Index (LMCI) from the Federal Reserve Board includes 19 indicators of labor market activity, covering the broad categories of unemployment and underemployment. These include jobs, workweeks, wages, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 09 2017

  U.S. Factory Orders Reverse Course With Decline in Aircraft Bookings

  Manufacturing sector orders declined 2.4% during November (+1.2 % y/y) following October's 2.8% surge. Durable goods bookings declined 4.5% (-0.2% y/y), revised from the advance estimate of a 4.6% fall. Transportation orders declined [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 06 2017

  U.S. Payroll Increase Eases as Earnings Accelerate

  Nonfarm payroll employment increased 156,000 during December (1.4% y/y) following a 204,000 November increase and a 135,000 October rise. Revisions added 19,000 jobs to these two latter results combined. A 175,000 increase in December [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 06 2017

  U.S. Payroll Increase Eases as Earnings Accelerate

  Nonfarm payroll employment increased 156,000 during December (1.4% y/y) following a 204,000 November increase and a 135,000 October rise. Revisions added 19,000 jobs to these two results combined. A 175,000 increase in December [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 05 2017

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Near 1973 Low

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell sharply in the final week of December to 235,000 from 263,000 in the week ended December 24, revised from 265,000. The latest level was the lowest since November 1973. Expectations in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 05 2017

  U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Stabilizes; Prices Strengthen

  The Composite Index of Nonmanufacturing Sector Business Activity from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) held at 57.2 during December versus an unrevised 57.2 in November. This level was the highest since October 2015, and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 05 2017

  U.S. ADP Private Payroll Increase Is Disappointing

  The ADP/Moody's National Employment Report indicated that private nonfarm payroll employment increased 153,000 during December following a 215,000 November rise, revised from 216,000. The October increase of 124,000 also was revised [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 04 2017

  U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Set a Record in 2016

  During all of 2016, total sales of light vehicles rose to a record 17.55 million units, up 0.7% from 17.42 million units sold in 2015, according to the Autodata Corporation. During December alone, sales increased 3.1% versus November [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 04 2017

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Stabilize

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Market Volume Index was little changed last week (9.1% y/y) following a 12.1% drop during the week prior. Since their peak early in July, applications have fallen by [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 04 2017

  U.S. Gasoline & Crude Oil Prices Strengthen

  The cost of energy products is moving higher. Regular gasoline prices rose to $2.38 per gallon (17.2% y/y) last week, the highest level since early in June. Prices remained down from a 2014 high of $3.71 per gallon. Haver Analytics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 03 2017

  U.S. Construction Activity Improves

  The value of construction put-in-place increased 0.9% during November following a 0.6% October gain, revised from 0.5%. Construction was up 4.1% y/y following stronger growth from 2012 through 2015. The latest rise compared to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 03 2017

  ISM Index Jumps to Two-Year High; Prices Strengthen

  Manufacturing sector activity continues to strengthen. The ISM composite index of factory sector activity increased to 54.7 during December from an unrevised 53.2 during November. It was highest reading since December 2014. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief