Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 17 2017

  U.S. Industrial Production Is Unchanged; Factory Output Improves Steadily

  Industrial production remained unchanged (+0.3% y/y) during February following a 0.1% January slip, revised from -0.3%. A 0.2% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Warm temperatures again provided a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 16 2017

  U.S. JOLTS: U.S. Labor Market Activity Remains Firm

  The total job openings rate of 3.7% during January held steady with the prior three months. Nevertheless, the rate was below July's peak of 4.0%. The private-sector job openings rate remained at 4.0%, where it was during all of last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 16 2017

  Philadelphia Fed Factory Index Declines; Prices Surge

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve reported that its General Factory Sector Business Conditions Index fell to 32.8 during March from an unrevised 43.3 in February. The latest monthly reading compared to expectations for 29.5 in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 16 2017

  U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Ease

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance slipped to 241,000 (-6.9% y/y) during the week ended March 11 from an unrevised 243,000 claims in the week prior. The latest level remained near the lowest since April 1973. Expectations had [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 16 2017

  U.S. Housing Starts Strengthen; Single-Family Near Ten-Year High

  Housing starts during February improved 3.0% to 1.288 million (AR) from 1.251 million in January, revised from 1.246 million. Expectations had been for 1.260 million starts in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Starts of single- [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 15 2017

  FOMC Lifts Target Interest Rate

  At today's meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, the targeted federal-funds rate was increased to a range of 0.75% to 1.00%, from 0.50% to 0.75%. It remained the highest target range since the end of 2008, and followed two [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 15 2017

  U.S. Home Builders Index Strengthens to 2005 High

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo jumped 9.2% to 71 during March (22.4% y/y) following two months of decline. It was the highest reading since June 2005. The NAHB figures are [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 15 2017

  Empire State Business Conditions Survey Eases

  The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions for March fell to 16.4 from 18.7 in February. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected 15.2. These data, reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 15 2017

  U.S. CPI Increase Moderates; Energy Prices Decline

  The Consumer Price Index nudged 0.1% higher during February following a 0.6% January increase. The gain outpaced expectations for m/m stability in the Action Economic Forecast Survey. Despite last month's moderation, the y/y increase [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 14 2017

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Ease; Crude Oil Slides

  Regular gasoline prices eased to $2.32 per gallon (+18.5% y/y) last week compared to $2.34 per gallon during the prior week. Prices remained lower than the 2014 high of $3.71 per gallon. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 14 2017

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Remains High

  The National Federation of Independent Business reported that its Small Business Optimism Index of 105.3 during February was down just slightly from January, but remained up 13.3% versus February 2016. It remained near the strongest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 14 2017

  U.S. Producer Prices Continue to Strengthen

  The headline Final Demand Producer Price Index increased 0.3% during February after a 0.6% January rise. The y/y increase of 2.2% was the strongest since March 2012. The monthly gain exceeded expectations for a 0.1% uptick in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief