Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 15 2017

  U.S. Home Builders Index Strengthens to 2005 High

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo jumped 9.2% to 71 during March (22.4% y/y) following two months of decline. It was the highest reading since June 2005. The NAHB figures are [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 15 2017

  Empire State Business Conditions Survey Eases

  The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions for March fell to 16.4 from 18.7 in February. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected 15.2. These data, reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 15 2017

  U.S. CPI Increase Moderates; Energy Prices Decline

  The Consumer Price Index nudged 0.1% higher during February following a 0.6% January increase. The gain outpaced expectations for m/m stability in the Action Economic Forecast Survey. Despite last month's moderation, the y/y increase [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 14 2017

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Ease; Crude Oil Slides

  Regular gasoline prices eased to $2.32 per gallon (+18.5% y/y) last week compared to $2.34 per gallon during the prior week. Prices remained lower than the 2014 high of $3.71 per gallon. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 14 2017

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Remains High

  The National Federation of Independent Business reported that its Small Business Optimism Index of 105.3 during February was down just slightly from January, but remained up 13.3% versus February 2016. It remained near the strongest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 14 2017

  U.S. Producer Prices Continue to Strengthen

  The headline Final Demand Producer Price Index increased 0.3% during February after a 0.6% January rise. The y/y increase of 2.2% was the strongest since March 2012. The monthly gain exceeded expectations for a 0.1% uptick in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 10 2017

  U.S. Payrolls and Earnings Rise Moderately

  Nonfarm payrolls increased 235,000 (1.7% y/y) during February. The gain followed a 238,000 January rise and a 155,000 December increase. These figures together were revised up by 9,000. Expectations had been for a 196,000 increase in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 10 2017

  U.S. Payrolls Increase 235,000; Earnings Rise 0.2%

  Nonfarm payrolls increased 235,000 (1.7% y/y) during February. The gain followed a 238,000 January rise and a 155,000 December increase. These figures together were revised up by 9,000. Expectations had been for a 196,000 increase in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 09 2017

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Applications Increase

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose to 243,000 during the week ended March 4 from an unrevised 223,000 claims in the week prior. The latest level remained near the lowest since April 1973. Expectations had been for 237,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 09 2017

  U.S. Import & Export Prices Strengthen; Petroleum Prices Ease

  Import prices edged 0.2% higher (4.6% y/y) during February following a 0.6% January increase, revised from 0.4%. A 0.1% uptick had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. These figures are not seasonally adjusted. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 08 2017

  Wholesale Sales & Inventories Decline

  Inventories at the wholesale level fell 0.2% (+2.4% y/y) during January following an unrevised 1.0% December jump. The advance report issued last week also indicated a 0.2% January decline. Inventories of durable goods eased 0.2% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 08 2017

  U.S. Productivity Increase Slows; Unit Labor Costs Accelerate

  Growth in nonfarm output per hour during Q4'16 increased at an unrevised 1.3% rate (1.0% y/y) following a 3.3% Q3 rise, revised from 3.5%. A 1.5% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. These latest two [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief