Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| May 11 2017

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Ease

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance slipped to 236,000 during the week ended May 6 from an unrevised 238,000 in the prior week. Expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey had called for 245,000 claims. The four-week [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 11 2017

  U.S. Producer Prices Strengthen

  The headline Final Demand Producer Price Index increased 0.5% during April following a 0.1% March dip. Being the strongest gain in three months, it pulled the y/y increase to 2.5%, the firmest since February 2012. The monthly increase [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 10 2017

  U.S. Budget Surplus Grows in April

  The U.S. Treasury Department reported that during April, the federal government ran a $182.4 billion budget surplus compared to a $106.5 billion surplus in April 2016. A $170.0 billion surplus had been expected in the Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 10 2017

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Increase; Rates Steady

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Volume Index rose 2.4% (-15.2% y/y) in the week of May 5, after little change in the prior week. Refinancing applications rebounded 3.3% (-31.5% y/y) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 10 2017

  U.S. Import Prices Strengthen as Oil Rebounds

  Import prices increased 0.5% during April (4.1% y/y) following a 0.1% March uptick, revised from -0.2%. It was the strongest rise in three months. A 0.2% gain had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. These figures [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 09 2017

  U.S. Wholesale Inventories Rise Moderately; Sales Hold Steady

  Inventories at the wholesale level rose 0.2% (3.0% y/y) during March following a 0.3% February gain, revised from 0.4%. Durable goods inventories strengthened 0.6% (2.5% y/y) after February's 0.2% rise. Motor vehicle stocks jumped [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 09 2017

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings and Hiring Stabilize

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the total job openings rate of 3.8% during March equaled February, but remained below July's peak of 4.0%. The private-sector job openings rate held steady at 4.0%, about where it's been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 09 2017

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Remains Firm

  The National Federation of Independent Business reported that its Small Business Optimism Index eased to 104.5 during April from 104.7 in March. The index remained up 11.6% from the level of 93.6 April 2016. A lessened 38% of firms [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 08 2017

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Slip

  The Industrial Materials Price Index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) eased 0.6% during the last four weeks, but remained up 12.7% during the last twelve months. This follows strength during [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 08 2017

  U.S. Labor Market Conditions Steadily Improve

  The Labor Market Conditions Index (LMCI) from the Federal Reserve Board includes 19 indicators of labor market activity, covering the broad categories of unemployment and underemployment. These include jobs, workweeks, wages, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 05 2017

  U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Picks Up Again

  Consumer credit outstanding grew $16.42 billion during March following a $13.75 billion February gain, revised from $15.2 billion. January's rise also was lessened to $9.73 billion. A $15.0 billion increase had been expected in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 05 2017

  U.S. Payroll & Earnings Growth Improve; Unemployment Rate Declines

  The job market firmed with the beginning of spring. Nonfarm payrolls rose 211,000 (1.4% y/y) during April. The rise followed a 79,000 March gain and a 232,000 February rise. These figures together were revised down by 6,000. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief