Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 07 2017

  U.S. Energy Prices Are Fairly Stable W/W

  Regular gasoline prices of $2.34 per gallon (27.2% y/y) last week compared to $2.31 per gallon during the prior week. Prices remained lower than the 2014 high of $3.71 per gallon. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2017

  U.S. Trade Deficit Increase Is Led by Oil Imports

  The U.S. trade deficit in goods and services widened during January to the largest level since March 2012. The increase to a $48.5 billion deficit from $44.3 billion in December was led by a broad-based 2.3% increase in imports; [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 06 2017

  U.S. Factory Orders Reflect Durables Strength

  Manufacturing sector orders increased 1.2% (5.5% y/y) during January following an unrevised 1.3% December rise. Durable goods orders increased 2.0% (1.6% y/y). Transportation sector orders rebounded 6.2% (-4.2% y/y) with a two-thirds [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 03 2017

  U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Strengthens; Pricing Power Eases

  The Composite Index of Nonmanufacturing Sector Activity from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) increased to 57.6 in February from 56.5 during January. February's reading continued as the highest level since October 2015. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 02 2017

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Fall to 1973 Low

  Initial unemployment insurance claims declined to 223,000 during the week ended February 25 from 242,000 claims in the week prior, revised from 244,000. The latest level was the lowest since March 1973. Expectations had been for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 01 2017

  U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Stabilize in February

  Total sales of light vehicles were little changed m/m during February (-0.7% y/y) at 17.58 million units (SAAR), according to the Autodata Corporation. Passenger car sales eased 0.8% (-11.5% y/y) to 6.53 million units. Domestically- [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 01 2017

  ISM Factory Sector Index Strengthens; Pricing Power Eases

  Industrial sector activity remains on a strong footing. The ISM composite index of factory sector activity increased to 57.7 during February from an unrevised 56.0 in January. It was highest reading since August 2014. Expectations [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 01 2017

  U.S. Take-Home Pay & Personal Spending Decline When Adjusted for Inflation

  Disposable personal income, after adjustment for higher prices, fell 0.2% during January following two months of 0.1% increase. It was the first decline since March 2015. The y/y increase fell to 2.0%, and compared to 4.4% y/y growth [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 28 2017

  Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Posts Two-Year High; Prices Jump

  The Chicago Purchasing Managers Business Barometer Index recovered to 57.4 in February after a decline to 50.3 in January. The latest figure was the highest since January 2015. The February reading exceeded expectations for 53.0 in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 28 2017

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Strengthens to 2001 High

  The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index for February jumped to 114.8, the highest level since July 2001. The Action Economics Forecast Survey had looked for a modest decline to 111.0. During the past thirty years, there has [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 28 2017

  U.S. GDP Growth Is Unrevised at 1.9%

  Estimates of economic performance last quarter were little changed from the advanced estimates. Growth of 1.9% in Q4'16 gross domestic product equaled the estimate issued last month; it followed a 3.5% gain in Q3. During all of last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 27 2017

  Texas Factory Sector Activity Approaches 2006 High

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas indicated in its Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey that the General Business Activity Index increased to 24.5 during February, the strongest reading since April 2006. Improved readings for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief