Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Dec 07 2018

  U.S. Employment and Earnings Gains Weaken Unexpectedly

  Labor market strength eased during November. Nonfarm payrolls increased 155,000 (1.7% y/y) after a 237,000 rise during October, revised from 250,000. September's gain was raised to 119,000 from 118,000. The November increase fell [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 07 2018

  U.S. Employment and Earnings Gains Weaken Unexpectedly

  Labor market strength eased during November. Nonfarm payrolls increased 155,000 (1.7% y/y) after a 237,000 rise during October, revised from 250,000. September's gain was raised to 119,000 from 118,000. The November increase fell [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 07 2018

  U.S. Employment and Earnings Gains Weaken Unexpectedly

  Labor market strength eased during November. Nonfarm payrolls increased 155,000 (1.7% y/y) after a 237,000 rise during October, revised from 250,000. September's gain was raised to 119,000 from 118,000. The November increase fell [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 06 2018

  U.S. Factory Orders Decline, Led by Aircraft

  Manufacturers' orders fell 2.1% (+6.9% y/y) during October following a 0.2% September rise, revised from 0.7%. The Action Economics Forecast survey had looked for a 2.0% decline. Durable goods orders fell 4.3% m/m (+7.8% y/y), revised [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 06 2018

  U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Edges Higher

  The Composite Index of Nonmanufacturing Sector Activity from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) inched up to 60.7 during November from 60.3 in October. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected a decline to 59.2. The ISM [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 06 2018

  U.S. ADP Private Sector Payroll Growth Eases

  The ADP National Employment Report indicated that private nonfarm payrolls increased 179,000 during November following a 225,000 October rise, revised from 227,000. Expectations had been for a 195,000 gain in the Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 05 2018

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Continue to Increase

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Index rose 2.0% (-16.6% y/y) during the week ended November 30 following a 5.5% rise during the prior week. Applications to refinance a mortgage [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 04 2018

  U.S. Gasoline and Crude Oil Prices Continue to Decline

  Gasoline prices fell to an average $2.45 per gallon (-2.0% y/y) from $2.54 during last week. Prices have fallen from an average high of $2.90 early last month, to the lowest level since December 2017. Haver Analytics constructs [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 03 2018

  U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Remain Firm

  Sales of light vehicles eased 0.2% (-0.8% y/y) during November to 17.49 million units (SAAR), but remained near the highest level in twelve months. Passenger car sales declined 4.8% (-14.5% y/y) last month to 5.37 million units and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 03 2018

  U.S. Construction Spending Continues to Weaken

  The value of construction put-in-place eased 0.1% (+4.9% y/y) during October. The weakening was the same as in September, revised from no change. It followed a 0.4% August decline, revised from +0.8%. A 0.4% increase had been expected [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 03 2018

  ISM Factory Sector Index Improves; Prices Moderate

  The ISM composite index of business activity in the factory sector increased to 59.3 during November after a decline to 57.7 in October. A reading of 57.5 had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. During the last ten [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 03 2018

  NABE 2019 Forecasts of Moderate Growth and Higher Inflation Are Unchanged

  The National Association for Business Economics projects 2.7% growth in real GDP during 2019, unchanged from the prior forecast in June. That follows an expected 2.9% rise this year, revised from the earlier forecast of 2.8% growth. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief