Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jul 23 2019

  U.S. FHFA House Price Index Increases Minimally M/M, Weakens Y/Y

  The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) reported that its House Price Index for home purchases inched 0.1% higher during May after an unrevised 0.4% April rise. It was the weakest m/m gain since January 2017 and lowered the y/y rate [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 23 2019

  U.S. Energy Product Prices Slip

  The pump price for a gallon of regular gasoline in the U.S. backpedaled to $2.75 (-2.9% y/y) last week, reversing most of the prior week's rise to $2.78 per gallon. The price was near the middle of the range beginning in late-March. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 22 2019

  Chicago Fed National Activity Index Steadies

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago reported that its National Activity index was little changed at -0.02 during June. That came after rising to -0.03 in May from April's -0.73. The three-month moving average also was steady last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 19 2019

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Stabilize

  The Industrial Materials Price Index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) was fairly steady during the last four weeks, rising 0.3% as activity in the industrial sector improved. The price index [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 18 2019

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Decline

  The Conference Board's Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators fell 0.3% (+1.6% y/y) during June following unrevised stability in May. It was the first decline in six months. A 0.1% uptick had been expected in the Action [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 18 2019

  Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index Strengthens

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia reported that its General Factory Sector Business Conditions Index increased to 21.8 in July after June's decline to 0.3. It was the highest index level in twelve months. A reading of 5.0 had [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 17 2019

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Decline as Interest Rates Rise

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Index fell 1.1% (+36.0% y/y) during the week ending July 12 and added to the prior week's 2.4% decline. The fall reflected a 3.8% drop (+6.9% y/y) in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 17 2019

  U.S. Housing Starts and Building Permits Weaken

  Housing starts eased 0.9% (+6.2% y/y) during June to 1.253 million (SAAR) from 1.265 million in May, revised from 1.269 million. Starts in April also were revised to 1.270 million from 1.199 million. The Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 16 2019

  U.S. Energy Product Prices Strengthen

  in the U.S. increased to $2.78 per gallon (-3.0% y/y) from $2.74 in the previous week. It was the highest price since early-June. Haver Analytics adjusts for the seasonal variation in gasoline pump prices. The seasonally adjusted [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 16 2019

  U.S. Energy Product Prices Strengthen

  in the U.S. increased to $2.78 per gallon (-3.0% y/y) from $2.74 in the previous week. It was the highest price since early-June. Haver Analytics adjusts for the seasonal variation in gasoline pump prices. The seasonally adjusted [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 16 2019

  U.S. Business Inventories & Sales Increase

  Total business inventories rose 0.3% (5.3% y/y) during May following an unrevised 0.5% April gain. Total business sales rose 0.2% (1.5% y/y) following an unrevised 0.2% decline. The inventory-to-sales (I/S) ratio held steady at an [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 16 2019

  U.S. Retail Sales Exhibit Unexpected Strength

  Improvement in consumer spending continues to underscore the economic expansion. Total retail sales increased 0.4% (1.8% y/y) during June following a 0.4% May gain, revised from a 0.5%. April's increase was revised also to 0.4% from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief