Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
| May 18 2023

U.S. Existing Home Sales Decline in April

  • Sales fall to three-month low.
  • Decline occurs throughout country.
  • Home prices continue to rebound from January low.

Sales of existing homes fell 3.4% in April (-23.2% y/y) to 4.28 million units (SAAR) after declining 2.6% to 4.43 million during March, revised from 4.44 million. Sales remained up from the January low of 4.00 million. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected April sales of 4.25 million units.

Single-family home sales fell 3.5% (-22.4% y/y) to 3.85 million units after falling 2.7% to 3.99 million in March. Sales remained 34.2% lower than the high of 5.85 million in October 2020. Condo and co-op sales weakened 2.3% (-29.5% y/y) to 430,000 after falling 2.2% in March. Sales have fallen 42.7% from the January 2021 high of 750,000.

Sales fell m/m across the country. Sales in the West declined 6.1% (-31.3% y/y) to 770,000 last month following a 3.5% March shortfall. Sales in the South also declined in April by 3.4% (-20.2% y/y) to 1.98 million after falling 1.9% in the prior month. In the Midwest, sales slid 1.9% (-21.5% y/y) to 1.02 million after a 4.6% March decline. Sales in the Northeast also weakened 1.9% (-23.9% y/y) to 510,000 after holding steady in March.

The number of existing homes for sale (NSA) rose 7.2% (1.0% y/y) to 1.04 million in April after holding steady m/m in March. The supply of homes on the market (NSA) rose to 2.9 months at the current selling rate, significantly higher than the record low of 1.6 months reached in January, 2022. These figures date back to January 1999.

The median price of an existing home (NSA) rose 3.6% (-1.7% y/y) to $388,800 following a 3.2% March increase. They were 6.0% below the June peak of $413,800. Prices rose last month in each region of the country. The median price of an existing single-family home rose 3.6% (-2.1% y/y) to $393,300 while the price of existing co-ops and condos rose 3.0% (0.7% y/y) to $348,000.

The data on existing home sales, prices and affordability are compiled by the National Association of Realtors. The data on single-family home sales extend back to February 1968. Total sales and price data and regional sales can be found in Haver's USECON database. Regional price and affordability data and national inventory data are available in the REALTOR database. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics Forecast Survey, reported in the AS1REPNA database.

  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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