Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Aug 07 2018

U.S. Retail Gasoline Prices Continue Strong

Summary

Retail gasoline prices remained at $2.85 per gallon last week, up 16.5% from $2.45 at the end of last year. Haver Analytics constructs factors to adjust for the marked seasonal variation in prices. The seasonally-adjusted gasoline [...]


Retail gasoline prices remained at $2.85 per gallon last week, up 16.5% from $2.45 at the end of last year. Haver Analytics constructs factors to adjust for the marked seasonal variation in prices. The seasonally-adjusted gasoline price was $2.79 per gallon, up from $2.60 late last year.

West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices improved to $69.01 per barrel last week from $68.80 the previous week and were up 39.4% from a year ago. WTI prices remained lower than the $71.79 peak at the end of June. Brent crude oil prices declined to $73.37 per barrel last week from $76.98 at the end of June.

Natural gas prices rose slightly last week to $2.80/mmbtu (0.8% y/y) from roughly $2.75 in the prior two weeks.

In the four-weeks ending July 27, gasoline demand eased 0.9% y/y; total petroleum product demand improved 0.6% y/y. Gasoline inventories increased 1.4% y/y, but inventories of all petroleum products fell 6.4% y/y. Crude oil input to refineries rose 0.9% y/y in the last four weeks.

These data are reported by the U.S. Department of Energy. The price data can be found in Haver's WEEKLY and DAILY databases. Greater detail on prices, as well as the demand, production and inventory data, along with regional breakdowns, are in OILWKLY.

Weekly Energy Prices 08/06/18 07/30/18 07/23/18 Y/Y % 2017 2016 2015
Retail Gasoline ($ per Gallon Regular, Monday Price) 2.85 2.85 2.83 19.9 2.47 2.31 2.03
Light Sweet Crude Oil, WTI ($ per bbl, Previous Week's Average) 69.01 68.80 68.96 39.4 50.87 43.22 48.90
Natural Gas ($/mmbtu, LA, Previous Week's Average) 2.80 2.75 2.74 0.8 2.96 2.49 2.62
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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