Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Nov 29 2012

U.S. Pending Home Sales Jump

Summary

Pending sales of single-family homes jumped 5.2% (13.2% y/y) last month after a little revised 0.4% September rise, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The latest figure broke home sales out of the sideways trend [...]


Pending sales of single-family homes jumped 5.2% (13.2% y/y) last month after a little revised 0.4% September rise, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The latest figure broke home sales out of the sideways trend in place for much of this year.

The rise in sales was led by a 15.6% increase (20.0% y/y) in the Midwest and sales also rose 5.5% (17.4% y/y) in the South. Elsewhere in the country there was no strength. Sales fell 1.1% (+0.9% y/y) in the West and slipped 0.1% (+13.3% y/y) in the Northeast. 

Pending home sales figures are analogous to the new home sales data from the Commerce Department in that they measure existing home sales when the sales contract is signed, not at the time the sale is closed. The series dates back to 2001 and the data are available in Haver's PREALTOR database.

The Fed's latest Beige Book covering regional economic conditions is available here.

 

Pending Home Sales (2001=100) Oct Sep Aug Y/Y% 2011 2010 2009
Total 104.8 99.6 99.2 13.2 90.3 89.2 94.7
Northeast 79.2 79.3 78.2 13.3 68.0 70.9 76.8
Midwest 104.4 90.3 95.0 20.0 81.6 79.9 88.9
South 117.3 111.2 110.4 17.4 98.3 97.0 98.4
West 105.7 106.9 102.5 0.9 104.2 100.8 109.2
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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