Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Jul 08 2014

U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Continues to Climb; Hires Rate Fails to Keep Pace

Summary

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in its Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the job openings rate increased to 3.2% during May from an unrevised 3.1% in April. The latest level was the highest since September [...]


The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in its Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the job openings rate increased to 3.2% during May from an unrevised 3.1% in April. The latest  level was the highest since September 2007. The job openings rate is the number of job openings on the last business day of the month as a percent of total employment plus job openings. The actual number of job openings rose 19.5% y/y to 4.635 million.

The private-sector job openings rate surged to 3.5%, its highest level since June 2007 and up from the recession low of 1.7%. The rate in leisure & hospitality businesses increased to a new high of 4.6%. The rate in professional & business services surged to 4.6%, the highest level since January 2006. In the health care & social assistance sector, the job openings rate improved to 3.9%. The rate in construction rose to 2.1%, down versus the 2.7% in November. In manufacturing it edged up to 2.4%. Still lagging was the job openings rate in the government sector which was stable m/m at a low 1.9%.

The hires rate slipped to 3.4% from its recovery high of 3.5%. The hires rate is the number of hires during the month divided by employment. The private sector hires rate remained at 3.8% where it's been for six months. Amongst leisure & hospitality firms, it slipped to 5.7%. In professional & business services it fell to 5.1% and the hires rate in retail trade slipped to 4.9%. In construction the rate improved to 5.2%, though it remained below the 6.9% pace in early-2011. In education & health services, the hires rate slipped to 2.5%. In the factory sector, the hires rate held at 2.0% and remained below the 2.5% high late in 2010. The government sector hires rate held at a low 1.3%.

The number of hires reversed the prior months' gain but remained up 3.9% y/y. Private sector hires gained 3.7% y/y as new retail trade jobs surged 17.4% y/y and hiring in professional & business services increased 5.6% y/y. Leisure & hospitality employment rose 5.0% y/y but factory sector hires declined 2.8% y/y. Education & health services jobs fell 4.3% y/y and new hires in construction were off 5.7% y/y. Government sector hiring increased 6.6% y/y but the level of hiring was the lowest since January.

The job separations rate slipped to 3.2% but the actual number of separations increased 2.1% y/y. Separations include quits, layoffs, discharges, and other separations as well as retirements. The private sector separations rate slipped to 3.6%, about where it's been since December, and the government sector's rate held at 1.3%. The layoff & discharge rate fell to 1.1% and equaled the series' low. The private sector layoff rate fell m/m to 1.3% and the government's rate held at 0.4%.

The JOLTS survey dates to December 2000 and the figures are available in Haver's USECON database.

JOLTS (Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey, SA) May Apr Mar May'13 2013 2012 2011
Job Openings, Total
 Rate (%) 3.2 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.5
 Total (000s) 4,635 4,464 4,166 3,879 3,914 3,646 3,538
Hires, Total
 Rate (%) 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.3 39.6 38.8 38.1
 Total (000s) 4,718 4,770 4,706 4,541 54,139 52,391 50,264
Layoffs & Discharges, Total
 Rate (%) 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 14.6 15.5 15.7
 Total (000s) 1,575 1,701 1,638 1,783 20,006 20,979 20,735
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

    More in Author Profile »

More Economy in Brief