Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Nov 09 2012

U.S. Import Prices Again Pushed Higher By Petroleum

Summary

Higher petroleum costs raised U.S. import prices by another 1.5% last month following an unrevised 1.1% September increase. Higher petroleum prices led the rise with a strong 1.3% gain (1.9% y/y). The Action Economics survey looked [...]

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Higher petroleum costs raised U.S. import prices by another 1.5% last month following an unrevised 1.1% September increase. Higher petroleum prices led the rise with a strong 1.3% gain (1.9% y/y). The Action Economics survey looked for no change in prices as market crude oil costs fell last month.

Nonpetroleum import prices rose 0.3% (-0.3% y/y) paced by a 1.2% (-3.6% y/y) jump in nonoil industrial supplies & material prices. A 0.3% (1.8% y/y) gain in motor vehicle & parts pries followed while foods, feeds & beverages costs rose 0.2% (-0.8% y/y). Nonauto consumer goods prices also gained 0.2% (0.2% y/y) and capital goods prices ticked up 0.1% (0.8% y/y).

U.S. export prices were unchanged (1.4% y/y) but agricultural commodities prices dropped 1.9% (+11.6% y/y). Nonagricultural commodity prices rose 0.2% (0.2% y/y). Nonauto consumer goods prices gained 0.1% (-0.1% y/y) while capital goods prices also ticked up 0.1% (1.1% y/y) for the second consecutive month. Automotive vehicles & product prices slipped 0.1% (+1.1% y/y).

The import and export price series can be found in Haver's USECON database. Detailed figures are available in the USINT database. The expectations figure is in the AS1REPNA database.

Part Chart, Part Science: The Evolution of Economic Indicators from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta can be found here http://www.frbatlanta.org/documents/pubs/econsouth/12q3_economic_indicators.pdf

Import/Export Prices (NSA, %) Oct Sep Aug Oct Y/Y 2011 2010 2009
Imports - All Commodities 1.5 1.1 1.2 0.4 10.9 6.9 -11.5
  Petroleum 1.3 4.7 6.2 1.9 36.5 28.4 -35.9
  Nonpetroleum 0.3 0.1 -0.1 -0.3 4.5 2.8 -4.1
Exports - All Commodities 0.0 0.8 0.9 1.4 8.1 4.9 -4.6
  Agricultural -1.9 1.2 4.7 11.6 22.3 7.9 -12.8
  Nonagricultural 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 6.6 4.6 -3.7
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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