Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Apr 07 2015

U.S. Gasoline Prices Move Down Again

Summary

Gasoline prices eased another 4 cents last week to $2.41 cents per gallon, down by one-third versus a year ago. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal variation in pump prices. The seasonally adjusted price fell [...]


Gasoline prices eased another 4 cents last week to $2.41 cents per gallon, down by one-third versus a year ago. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal variation in pump prices. The seasonally adjusted price fell last week to $2.40 per gallon.

For the week ended April 3, WTI crude oil prices notched up to an average $48.95 per barrel (-51.3% y/y). Yesterday, prices strengthened to $52.14 per barrel. These prices compare to a June peak of $107.95. The seasonally adjusted price, generated by Haver Analytics, was fairly stable last week at $48.30 per barrel.

Natural gas prices declined to $2.61 (-41.2% y/y) per mmbtu during the week ended April 3. Prices held at $2.62 yesterday.

A supply-demand imbalance continues to put fuel prices under downward pressure. Gasoline inventories grew 6.3% y/y while inventories of all petroleum products increased 9.4% y/y. Gasoline demand improved 1.9% y/y while the demand for all petroleum products gained 2.7% y/y.

The energy price data are reported by the U.S. Department of Energy. The petroleum demand and inventory figures are from the Oil & Gas Journal Weekly. These data can be found in Haver's WEEKLY database. The daily figures are in DAILY and greater detail on prices, demand and production, along with regional breakdowns, are in OILWKLY.

Weekly Energy Prices 04/06/15 03/30/15 03/23/15 Y/Y% 2014 2013 2012
Retail Gasoline ($ per Gallon, Regular) 2.41 2.45 2.46 -32.9 3.36 3.51 3.62
Light Sweet Crude Oil, WTI ($ per bbl., WSJ) 48.95 48.68 44.39 -51.3 93.63 97.95 94.20
Natural Gas ($/mmbtu, LA, WSJ) 2.61 2.71 2.78 -41.2 4.37 3.73 2.7
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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