Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Jan 31 2013

U.S. Employment Cost Index Rise Remains Moderate

Summary

The employment cost index for private industry workers rose 0.5% in Q4'12 versus an unrevised 0.4% Q3 rise. The latest increase in total compensation matched expectations as compiled by Bloomberg. The full-year rise of 1.9% was down [...]


The employment cost index for private industry workers rose 0.5% in Q4'12 versus an unrevised 0.4% Q3 rise. The latest increase in total compensation matched expectations as compiled by Bloomberg. The full-year rise of 1.9% was down from the 2012 increase of 2.2%.

The increase in private sector wages & salaries slipped to 0.3% (1.7% y/y). Amongst industry groups, wages in the financial industry rose 1.9% over the last four quarters, education & health services industries rose 1.7% y/y while professional & business services wages rose 2.0% y/y. Wages in leisure & hospitality industries rose an improved 1.1% y/y. State & local government workers saw a 1.1% rise in wages last year.

Benefit cost increases continued moderate and they rose 0.6% (2.0% y/y). Benefits amongst goods-producing workers rose 1.4% y/y but for service-producing industry workers they rose a lessened 2.6% y/y. State & local government sector workers realized an improved 3.4% four-quarter rise in benefits.

The employment cost index figures are available in Haver's USECON database. 

ECI- Private Industry Workers (%) Q4'12 Q3'12 Q2'12 Q4 Y/Y 2012 2011 2010
Compensation 0.5 0.4 0.5 1.9 1.9 2.2 1.9
 Wages & Salaries 0.3 0.4 0.4 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.6
 Benefit Costs 0.6 0.7 0.6 2.2 2.4 3.4 2.6
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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