Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Dec 16 2020

FOMC Leaves Funds Rate Near Zero Continuing to Cite COVID-19 Impacts

Summary

The Federal Reserve left the target for the Fed funds rate in a range of 0.00% to 0.25% at today's meeting of the FOMC. The Fed indicated that, "The COVID-19 pandemic is causing tremendous human and economic hardship across the United [...]


The Federal Reserve left the target for the Fed funds rate in a range of 0.00% to 0.25% at today's meeting of the FOMC. The Fed indicated that, "The COVID-19 pandemic is causing tremendous human and economic hardship across the United States and around the world."

The Fed reiterated its comment from the last meeting that, "The path of the economy will depend significantly on the course of the virus. The ongoing public health crisis will continue to weigh on economic activity, employment, and inflation in the near term, and poses considerable risks to the economic outlook over the medium term."

The Fed continued to indicate that it will "increase its holdings of Treasury securities by at least $80 billion per month and of agency mortgage-backed securities by at least $40 billion per month until substantial further progress has been made toward the Committee's maximum employment and price stability goals."

The statement issued following today's meeting can be found here.

Today's action was supported by all Committee members.

Current Last 2020 2019 2018 2017
Federal Funds Rate Target 0.0% - 0.25% 0.0% - 0.25% 0.38% 2.17% 1.82% 1.00%

At today's meeting, the Fed updated its economic projections.

% 2020 2021 2022 2023 Real GDP (Q4/Q4) -2.4 (previously -3.7) 4.2 (previously 4.0) 3.2 (previously 3.0) 2.4 (previously 2.5) PCE Inflation (Q4/Q4) 1.2 1.8 (previously 1.7) 1.9 (previously 1.8) 2.0 Core PCE Inflation (Q4/Q4) 1.4 (previously 1.5) 1.8 (previously 1.7) 1.9 (previously 1.8) 2.0 Unemployment Rate 6.7 (previously 7.6) 5.0 (previously 5.5) 4.2 (previously 4.6) 3.7 (previously 4.0)
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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