The last few days have seen mounting evidence that firmly quashes the idea that we might have been close to achieving any semblance of normality in the period immediately ahead. The latest data that concern COVID-19 in particular make [...]
Global| Sep 25 2020Two Steps Forward, One Step Back
by:Andrew Cates
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Global| Sep 24 2020State Personal Income in Q2 2020
The pandemic utterly dominated state income numbers in the second quarter. Every state saw a double-digit rate of decline in earnings from employment and noncorporate business. Every state saw a double-digit rate of growth in [...]
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Global| Sep 18 2020Hong Kong Unemployment (August 2020): Labor Market Remains Feeble in the Short Run
On a seasonally adjusted basis, the unemployment rate was unchanged at 6.1% in the three months to September, according to the Hong Kong Census and Statistics (see Figure 1). Note that the jobless rate has been hovering around this [...]
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Global| Sep 17 2020Retail Spending & Tax Data: Two Reasons Why The Administration Decided To Go Big On Another Stimulus
In a sudden reversal, the Trump Administration has given its blessing for a bigger stimulus plan. It was only a week or so ago when the White House National Economic Advisor stated the strong rebound in economic activity doesn't [...]
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Global| Sep 14 2020Liquidity Boom Fueled By Record Stimulus Has Ended: Equity Market Most Vulnerable
The liquidity boom fueled from record fiscal and monetary stimulus has disappeared. The unwind process will be uneven just as it was uneven on the upside when record stimulus flowed through portfolio, income, and spending channels. [...]
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Global| Sep 11 2020Hard Times and Great Expectations
Officiandos of the works of Charles Dickens will recognize the book titles that head up this commentary. 'Hard Times' certainly seems apt when assessing the global economic damage that's been generated by the current crisis and the [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
Global| Sep 08 2020"Averaging" Inflation Does Not Eliminate The Flaws In The Fed's Policy Approach; It Compounds Them
Federal Reserve has spent over a year conducting a review of its monetary policy strategy, tools, and communication process. The review was an academic re-assessment of an academic experiment called inflation targeting. The new [...]
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Global| Sep 02 20202020 Drop In Operating Profits Mirrors 2008: Different Mix Shows The Need For More Fiscal Support
The sharp drop in operating profits in 2020 mirrors the decline of 2008. But the mix of profits is markedly different, with the bulk of the decline centered in non-financial industries. The crisis of 2020 is centered more so in the [...]
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