In line with the Consensus expectation, the Composite Index of activity in the manufacturing sector from the Institute of Supply Management rose last month to 58.6, the second month of gain after three months of decline. During the [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Jan 03 2005ISM Factory Index Nudged Up Further
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 30 2004
Initial Claims For Jobless Insurance Fell
Initial claims for unemployment insurance unexpectedly fell by 5,000 to 326,000 last week following a downwardly revised 15,000 rise the week prior. Consensus expectations had been for 335,000 claims. The four week moving average of [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 30 2004
Help-Wanted Advertising At Series' Low
The National Index of Help-Wanted Advertising published by the Conference Board fell to 36 in November, the bottom of the 36-40 range it has moved in since 2Q 2003. During the last ten years there has been an 88% correlation between [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 30 2004
Chicago Purchasing Agents' Index Down
The Chicago Purchasing Managers Business Barometer fell for the second consecutive month in December to 61.2, the lowest level since August. Consensus expectations had been for a decline to 62.3. During the last ten years there has [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 30 2004
Chicago Purchasing Agents' Index Down
The Chicago Purchasing Managers Business Barometer fell for the second consecutive month in December to 61.2, the lowest level since August. Consensus expectations had been for a decline to 62.3. During the last ten years there has [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 29 2004
Mortgage Applications Down
According to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Survey, total mortgage applications fell 1.7% last week to a level 39.4% below the peak in early March. Purchase applications rose 2.7%, the first increase in three weeks. That [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 29 2004
U.S. Existing Home Sales Up To Record High
Sales of existing single family homes rose 2.7% in November to 6.94M, the highest level on record. Consensus expectations had been for sales of 6.75M. The figures reflect closings of home sales in earlier months. The rise was driven [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 29 2004
U.S. Existing Home Sales Up To Record High
Sales of existing single family homes rose 2.7% in November to 6.94M, the highest level on record. Consensus expectations had been for sales of 6.75M. The figures reflect closings of home sales in earlier months. The rise was driven [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 28 2004
Strong Ending to Holiday Season Raised Chain Store Sales
Chain store sales surged 2.7% during Christmas week on top of two weeks of strong gain, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. During the last three weeks chain store sales jumped 5.7%. That gain [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 28 2004
Improved Assessment of Job Market Raised Consumer Confidence
The Conference Boards Index of Consumer Confidence surged nearly ten points to 102.3 in December. Consensus expectations had been for a reading of 94.0. The latest was the highest Confidence reading since July. Jobs were viewed as [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 28 2004
Improved Assessment of Job Market Raised Consumer Confidence
The Conference Boards Index of Consumer Confidence surged nearly ten points to 102.3 in December. Consensus expectations had been for a reading of 94.0. The latest was the highest Confidence reading since July. Jobs were viewed as [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Dec 23 2004
Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Bounced Up
Initial unemployment insurance claims bounced up 17,000 to 333,000 last week following the sharp 45,000 drop the week prior. Consensus expectations had been for 335,000 claims. The latest figure is for the December survey period of [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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