Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| May 19 2005

  Leading Indicators Down Again

  The Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators reported by the Conference Board fell for the fourth straight month in April. The 0.2% decline followed a downwardly revised 0.6% drop in March. Six-month growth in the leaders fell [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 19 2005

  Leading Indicators Down Again

  The Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators reported by the Conference Board fell for the fourth straight month in April. The 0.2% decline followed a downwardly revised 0.6% drop in March. Six-month growth in the leaders fell [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 18 2005

  Mortgage Applications Dropped

  Total mortgage applications dropped 10.5% last week and reversed more than all of the prior week's increase according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Nevertheless, applications so far in May are 8.0% ahead of the April average. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 18 2005

  Consumer Price Inflation Again Raised By Energy

  The CPI-U rose 0.6% in April due to a 4.5% jump in energy prices. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.4% rise in the total.Food prices also were strong posting a 0.7% advance, the strongest in nearly a year. Over the first four [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 18 2005

  Consumer Price Inflation Again Raised By Energy

  The CPI-U rose 0.6% in April due to a 4.5% jump in energy prices. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.4% rise in the total.Food prices also were strong posting a 0.7% advance, the strongest in nearly a year. Over the first four [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 17 2005

  Weekly Chain Store Sales Fell

  Chain store sales fell a sharp 1.0% last week following the 0.7% surge which opened the month of May, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. Sales in May nevertheless remained 0.9% above the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 17 2005

  Industrial Production Fell

  Industrial production fell 0.2% in April following a downwardly revised 0.1% increase in March. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.2% gain. Lower utility output accounted for all of the decline as it fell 2.3% (0.7% y/y) for the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 17 2005

  NAHB Housing Market Index Recovered

  The May National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) Composite Housing Market Index recovered all of the prior month's sharp drop and rose to 70. During the last twenty years, annual changes in the composite index had an 83% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 17 2005

  Housing Starts Rebounded

  Housing starts rebounded 11.0% in April and recovered about half of the prior month's unrevised 17.6% decline.The rise to 2.038M exceeded Consensus expectations for 1.97M starts. Figures were revised back to 2003. Single-family starts [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 17 2005

  PPI Gains Broad

  The Producer Price Index for finished goods rose 0.6% last month and again surpassed Consensus expectations which had been for a 0.4% increase. Excluding food & energy the PPI rose 0.3% in April, up sharply from the 0.1% gains during [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 17 2005

  PPI Gains Broad

  The Producer Price Index for finished goods rose 0.6% last month and again surpassed Consensus expectations which had been for a 0.4% increase. Excluding food & energy the PPI rose 0.3% in April, up sharply from the 0.1% gains during [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 16 2005

  Empire State Index Negative

  The Empire State Index of General Business Conditions in New York's manufacturing industries went negative in May for the first month since April 2003. The decline to -11.11 followed a year of weakening versus the peak in February [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief