The Index of Help-Wanted Advertising from the Conference Board edged up in September to 39 from 38 in August which was upwardly revised. During the last ten years there has been a 61% correlation between the level of help-wanted [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Oct 27 2005Help-Wanted Advertising Edged Up
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 27 2005
New Home Sales Up, Northeast & West Down
New single-family home sales edged up 2.1% last month to 1.222M but that followed an 11.6% drop in August which was deeper than estimated initially. Consensus expectations had been for 1.25M sales in September. Sales fell a sharp [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 27 2005
U.S. Durable Goods Orders Off
A 41.6% m/m decline in nondefense aircraft orders combined with a 3.5% drop in defense aircraft bookings to pull total orders for durable goods down 2.1% last month. The 3.8% rise in August orders was upwardly revised and Consensus [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 27 2005
U.S. Durable Goods Orders Off
A 41.6% m/m decline in nondefense aircraft orders combined with a 3.5% drop in defense aircraft bookings to pull total orders for durable goods down 2.1% last month. The 3.8% rise in August orders was upwardly revised and Consensus [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 26 2005
MAPI Business Outlook Survey Fell Further
The 3Q '05 Composite Business Index published by the Manufacturers' Alliance/MAPI fell to 66 from 68 the prior quarter. The latest is the lowest level since 2Q '03. During the last ten years there has been a 66% correlation between [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 26 2005
Mortgage Applications Backed Down
The total number of mortgage applications reversed course last week and fell 7.9% after rising 6.1% the prior period according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. The decline pulled the average level in October 5.9% below September. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 26 2005
Mortgage Applications Backed Down
The total number of mortgage applications reversed course last week and fell 7.9% after rising 6.1% the prior period according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. The decline pulled the average level in October 5.9% below September. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 25 2005
Gasoline Prices Fell Further
The US average retail gasoline price continued lower last week and fell to $2.60 per gallon from $2.73 during the prior week. Crude oil prices continued lower as well. WTI crude fell yesterday to $61.13 per barrel versus an average of [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 25 2005
Chain Store Sales Slipped
Chain store sales slipped 0.2% last week and reversed half of the prior week's increase, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. For the month, the level of sales is even with the September [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 25 2005
U.S. Existing Home Sales Unchanged
The National Association of Realtors reported that September total existing home sales remained unchanged from the prior month at 7.28M. The August level was revised down slightly. Consensus expectations had been for a slightly [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 25 2005
Consumer Confidence Down Again
In October, the Conference Board's index of Consumer Confidence fell to 85.0 and added 2.9% to the 17.9% m/m decline during the prior month. Consensus expectations had been for little change at 88.0. Last week, the University of [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 25 2005
Consumer Confidence Down Again
In October, the Conference Board's index of Consumer Confidence fell to 85.0 and added 2.9% to the 17.9% m/m decline during the prior month. Consensus expectations had been for little change at 88.0. Last week, the University of [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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