Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Oct 25 2005

  Consumer Confidence Down Again

  In October, the Conference Board's index of Consumer Confidence fell to 85.0 and added 2.9% to the 17.9% m/m decline during the prior month. Consensus expectations had been for little change at 88.0. Last week, the University of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 25 2005

  Consumer Confidence Down Again

  In October, the Conference Board's index of Consumer Confidence fell to 85.0 and added 2.9% to the 17.9% m/m decline during the prior month. Consensus expectations had been for little change at 88.0. Last week, the University of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 24 2005

  ECRI Leading Index Reached a New High

  The weekly leading index of the US economy published by the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) increased 0.7% last week and rose to a record high for the series. The gain followed no change during the prior week and w/w declines [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 24 2005

  ECRI Leading Index Reached a New High

  The weekly leading index of the US economy published by the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) increased 0.7% last week and rose to a record high for the series. The gain followed no change during the prior week and w/w declines [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 21 2005

  Petroleum Prices Down, And Going Lower?

  As of last week the US average retail gasoline price fell to $2.73 per gallon, down 11.2% from the weekly high of $3.07 seen in early September. Moreover, yesterday's NY harbor spot price for regular unleaded gasoline was down twenty [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 21 2005

  Petroleum Prices Down, And Going Lower?

  As of last week the US average retail gasoline price fell to $2.73 per gallon, down 11.2% from the weekly high of $3.07 seen in early September. Moreover, yesterday's NY harbor spot price for regular unleaded gasoline was down twenty [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 20 2005

  Philadelphia Fed Activity Index Recovered

  The October Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector from the Philadelphia Fed recovered just about all of the prior month's loss. A surge to 17.3 from 2.2 in September compared to Consensus expectations for a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 20 2005

  Leading Economic Indicators Fell for Third Month

  The Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators reported by the Conference Board fell 0.7% in September following declines of 0.1% during the prior two months. The initial effects of the Gulf hurricanes as well as earlier weakening [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 20 2005

  Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Down Sharply

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance dropped 35,000 to 355,000 last week versus a little revised level of 389,000 during the prior period. Consensus expectations had been for 370,000 claims. The Labor Department indicated that [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 20 2005

  Philadelphia Fed Activity Index Recovered

  The October Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector from the Philadelphia Fed recovered just about all of the prior month's loss. A surge to 17.3 from 2.2 in September compared to Consensus expectations for a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 19 2005

  Mortgage Applications Rose Sharply

  According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, the total number of mortgage applications rose 6.1% last week and reversed most of the declines during the prior three periods although applications so far in October remained 4.2% below [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 19 2005

  NAHB Housing Market Index Improved

  Following three consecutive months of decline, the National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) Composite Housing Market Index gained back in October all of the September drop with a 3.1% increase. Nevertheless the index remained [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief