Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Sep 09 2008

  U.S. Pending Home Sales in July Reversed June Gain

  The National Association of Realtors reported that the July change in pending sales of existing homes reversed about half of the prior month's increase. The decline of 3.2% was larger than Consensus expectations for a 1.3% drop. These [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 09 2008

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Ticked Up

  According to the International Council of Shopping Centers, chain store sales ticked down 0.1% last week and reversed the 0.1% uptick during the week prior. As a result, sales began this month 0.1% below the August average after that [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 09 2008

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Down Again Last Week

  The pump price for a gallon of regular gasoline fell three cents last week to $3.65 after having been roughly unchanged during the week prior, according to the U.S. Department of Energy survey. The price has fallen by 47 cents, or [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 09 2008

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Recovered

  Small business optimism, according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB), recovered last month to the highest level since April. The 3.3% m/m rise to 91.1 made up all of a 1.1% July decline which had pulled the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 09 2008

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Recovered

  Small business optimism, according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB), recovered last month to the highest level since April. The 3.3% m/m rise to 91.1 made up all of a 1.1% July decline which had pulled the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 05 2008

  U.S. Payrolls Down Again, Jobless Rate Up Further

  Last month, nonfarm payrolls fell 84,000, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The latest decline was slightly greater than expectations for a 75,000 drop but it was accompanied by downward revisions to prior months' data. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 05 2008

  U.S. Payrolls Down Again, Jobless Rate Up Further

  Last month, nonfarm payrolls fell 84,000, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The latest decline was slightly greater than expectations for a 75,000 drop but it was accompanied by downward revisions to prior months' data. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 04 2008

  U.S. Productivity Growth Revised Up; Unit Labor Costs Fell

  Labor productivity in the nonfarm business sector rose a revised 4.3% last quarter. The increase was larger than expected growth of 3.4% and it was double the preliminary estimate of a 2.2% increase. The upward revision was due to a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 04 2008

  U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Highest in Four Weeks

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose unexpectedly last week to 444,000 from 429,000 during the prior week. The latest level was the highest in four weeks. The four-week moving average dipped again w/w to 438,000 (34.7% y/y), [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 04 2008

  U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Up, Prices Down

  The Composite Index for the nonmanufacturing sector, from the Institute for Supply Management, again ticked up. For August it rose to 50.6 from an unrevised 49.5 during July. The latest was the highest level since May. Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 04 2008

  ADP Report: Payroll Employment Fell 33,000 in August

  The ADP National Employment Report, from the payroll processor, indicated that August private nonfarm payrolls fell 33,000 after a downwardly revised uptick of 1,000 during July. The decline about matched expectations for an August [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 04 2008

  U.S. August Light Vehicle Sales Recovered Modestly

  U.S. sales of light vehicles in August recovered their decline during July and rose 9.3%, according to the Autodata Corporation. The latest sales level of 13.72M units, nevertheless, left sales for the year so far averaging 14.32M. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief