Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jun 11 2009

  U.S. Business Inventory Decumulation Remains Strong and Steady

  As worried as they are about the sales environment, businesses have taken the practice of shedding their inventories at the fastest rate in nearly thirty years. Total business inventories fell another 1.1% during April, down for the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 11 2009

  U.S. Retail Sales Rise With Higher Gas Prices; Underlying Trend Is Flat

  Despite the latest increase in overall retail sales, U.S. consumer spending remains constrained by weak job growth and rising gasoline prices. The restraint was evident in a modest, expected 0.5% increase in May retail sales which [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 11 2009

  U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Fall To Their Lowest Since January

  At the margin, the labor market continues to show signs of firming ... but just a bit. The latest indication is that last week, initial claims for unemployment insurance fell a sharp 24,000 to 601,000 from a little revised 625,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 11 2009

  U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Fall To Their Lowest Since January

  At the margin, the labor market continues to show signs of firming ... but just a bit. The latest indication is that last week, initial claims for unemployment insurance fell a sharp 24,000 to 601,000 from a little revised 625,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 05 2009

  U.S. Payroll Losses Slow As Unemployment Rate Jumps

  The May figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated moderation in the rate of job loss, though the labor market remains quite weak. Nonfarm payrolls fell 345,000 last month and that was the smallest monthly decline since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 05 2009

  U.S. Payroll Losses Slow AsUnemployment Rate Jumps

  The May figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated moderation in the rate of job loss, though the labor market remains quite weak. Nonfarm payrolls fell 345,000 last month and that was the smallest monthly decline since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 04 2009

  U.S. Worker Productivity Increase Stronger, But Underlying Cost Pressures Mount

  Labor productivity in the nonfarm business sector was revised higher for last quarter to 1.5% (AR) from the initial estimate of a 0.8% increase. The Consensus expectation was for revision to 1.2% growth. (Earlier figures also were [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 04 2009

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Slip

  The labor market is neither worsening nor improving significantly. It just remains quite soft. The latest indication of this is last week's slip in initial claims for unemployment insurance by 4,000 to 621,000 from an upwardly revised [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 04 2009

  U.S. Worker Productivity Increase Stronger, But Underlying Cost Pressures Mount

  Labor productivity in the nonfarm business sector was revised higher for last quarter to 1.5% (AR) from the initial estimate of a 0.8% increase. The Consensus expectation was for revision to 1.2% growth. (Earlier figures also were [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 03 2009

  U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Improves Further

  Improvement in service sector activity is accompanying the factory sector's recent rise. The May Composite Index for the nonmanufacturing sector from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) rose to 44.0 last month from an unrevised [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 03 2009

  Challenger Layoffs Continue To Indicate Job Market Improvement

  The outplacement firm of Challenger, Grey & Christmas indicated that job cut announcements eased for the fourth consecutive month. The announcement of 111,182 layoffs followed 132,590 during April. This cycle's largest layoff total [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 03 2009

  ADP Report: Rate Of Job Loss Moderates

  No doubt the job market has yet to materially improve. However, the latest report from the payroll processor ADP in their National Employment Report showed an easing in the rate of contraction. It indicated that private nonfarm [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief