Consumer pricing power continues to suffer from inadequate economic growth and low levels of liquidity (money, loans, & earnings). That was clear in the report that the October Consumer Price Index ticked up just 0.2% after a 0.1% [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Nov 17 2010U.S. CPI Moves Up Modestly As Core Prices Slip
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 16 2010U.S. PPI Is Strong For Third Month; Core Prices Drop Sharply
Other than energy prices, inflation is tame. So often observed, it could be considered humdrum. For last month, however, it's an appropriate way to describe producer pricing power. The U.S. Producer Price Index for finished goods rose [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 16 2010U.S. Housing Sector Improves Again This Month Says Home Builders Association
The National Association of Home Builders reported that their index of housing market activity improved to 16 this month from a downwardly revised 15 in October. The figure remained above the all-time low reached in January of last [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 16 2010U.S. Industrial Production Is Unchanged; Factory Output Jumped
The capital goods sector of the economy raised industrial output last month. The headline figure of no-change in October industrial production owed to a 3.4% decline in utility output. Three-month growth in output overall dropped to [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 16 2010U.S. PPI Is Strong For Third Month; Core Prices Drop Sharply
Other than energy prices, inflation is tame. So often observed, it could be considered humdrum. For last month, however, it's an appropriate way to describe producer pricing power. The U.S. Producer Price Index for finished goods rose [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 16 2010U.S. PPI Is Strong For Third Month; Core Prices Drop Sharply
Other than energy prices, inflation is tame. So often observed, it could be considered humdrum. For last month, however, it's an appropriate way to describe producer pricing power. The U.S. Producer Price Index for finished goods rose [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 15 2010Empire State Factory Index Turns Negative But Expectations Improve
In an abrupt turnaround, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported that its November Empire State Factory Index of General Business Conditions fell to -11.14, the first negative reading in over one year. The figure was well short [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 15 2010U.S. Business Inventory Accumulation Continues Firm
Businesses during September continued their earlier effort to lift inventories. The 0.9% rise in inventories followed a like August gain which was revised up from 0.6%. The increases confirm the 1.4 percentage point contribution to [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 15 2010U.S. Retail Spending Increase Is Fourth In A Row
The consumer indicated that despite a generally cautious mood, wallets were opened last month. Retail spending rose 1.2% during October following a 0.7% increase that was revised from 0.6%. The last was higher than expectations for a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 12 2010Consumer Sentiment Ticks Higher With Inflation Expectations
Consumer sentiment has barely improved since mid-year. The University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment reported that its mid-month measure for November inched up from October to 69.3 after four months of being roughly [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 12 2010Commodity Prices Have Strengthened. Are There More Gains To Come?
After looking at the table below, it's easy to see price strength. The price of gold hit $1,400 per ounce in November, pulling it up nearly one-quarter this year after a like gain in 2009. Silver prices also have been strong. Their [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 10 2010U.S. Import Prices Recover With Rise In Oil
The recent volatility of oil prices has dominated the monthly ups and downs of U.S. import prices. During October there was a clear upward influence as there has been through this year. Import prices jumped 0.9% last month following a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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