Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jan 05 2011

  U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Highest Since 2006

  For the fourth consecutive month the U.S. service sector improved. The December Composite Index for the service and construction sectors from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) rose to 57.1.0 from 55.0 in November. The latest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 05 2011

  U.S. Vehicle Sales Improve Further

  Unit sales of light vehicles increased 2.3% last month versus November to 12.55M units (SAAR). Sales were slightly stronger than expectations for 12.3M. (Seasonal adjustment of these figures is provided by the U.S. Bureau of Economic [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 05 2011

  ADP Reports Record Jump In Payrolls

  In its latest National Employment Report, the payroll processor, Automatic Data Processing (ADP), indicated that the level of private nonfarm payrolls jumped 297,000 m/m during December. The gain exceeded Consensus expectations for a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 05 2011

  Small Business Employment Outpaces Overall Economy

  Small business employment has been growing since September, 2009. That's the indication from Intuit's Small Business Employment Index for December. Since the 2009 low, the index has risen 4.5% and that compares to roughly 0.5% growth [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 04 2011

  U.S. Factory Shipments Rise With Higher Oil Prices

  There's a recovery underway in the factory sector, but it's losing steam. Shipments of manufactured goods rose 0.8% in November (5.9% y/y) after a 0.4% October increase, but the magnitude of that recovery is misleading. Higher oil [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 04 2011

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Reach A Record Level At Year-end

  Shopping is what consumers do, especially during the holidays. Reflecting that inclination, sales at chain stores increased another 0.4% last week to a record high. The increase followed three weeks of strong increase. However, since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 04 2011

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Higher With Crude Oil Costs

  Reports of improvement in economies worldwide have lent strength to energy prices. Last week, the pump price for regular gasoline rose another two cents to $3.07 per gallon following the prior week's seven cent rise. Prices were the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 03 2011

  U.S. Construction Spending Increases Modestly

  Moderate weather may have played a part in its increase. Nevertheless, the value of construction put-in-place rose 0.4% during November following an unrevised 0.7% October gain. The latest figure essentially matched Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 03 2011

  U.S. ISM Factory Sector Index Rises to Highest Level Since 2004

  The Composite Index from the Institute for Supply Management increased just moderately last month to 57.0 from 56.6 during November. A slightly lesser gain to 56.8 had been expected by the Bloomberg Survey. Despite the modest m/m [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 28 2010

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Build On Earlier Holiday Strength

  The holiday spirit held right up until Christmas. Sales at chain stores increased 1.0% last week to the highest level since early-August. The increase followed a 1.7% gain during the week earlier. However, since the latest surges [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 28 2010

  U.S. Case-Shiller Home Price Index Continues Downward

  Today's report that home prices drifted down again confirms other reports of weakness in the housing sector including depressed levels of sales, starts and overall construction activity. During October, the seasonally adjusted Case- [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 23 2010

  Consumer Sentiment Improves

  The consumer held onto the improved mood adopted since this past summer, just in time for the holiday season. During December the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment rose to 74.5, slightly better than the mid-month [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief