Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jan 12 2011

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Increase As Interest Rates Fall

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that overall mortgage applications increased 2.2% last week after a like gain during the week prior. Nevertheless, applications remained near the lowest since 2008. Applications to refinance a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 12 2011

  U.S. Import Prices Again Lifted By Oil

  Higher oil prices continued to push up U.S. import prices. During December, import prices jumped another 1.1% after an upwardly revised 1.5% November increase, initially reported as 1.2%. The increase roughly matched Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 11 2011

  JOLTS: U.S. Job Openings Rate Pulls Back

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in its Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the November job openings rate slipped to 2.4% from an unrevised 2.5% during October. These levels remained improved versus the recession [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 11 2011

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Decline As Holiday Spirit Fades

  Consumers seem to have lost their inclination to spend shown during the holiday season. Sales at chain stores fell 3.2% last week and retraced all of the increase during December. January sales began 1.4% below the December average. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 11 2011

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Higher With Crude Oil Costs

  Energy prices continue upward as the economy and the demand for energy products improves. Last week, the pump price for regular gasoline rose another two cents to $3.09 per gallon following the prior week's two cent rise. Prices were [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 11 2011

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Slips in December But Trend Improvement Intact

  Following several months of upward movement, small business optimism slipped last month. Nevertheless, the National Federation of Independent Business indicated that their index of small business optimism, at 92.6 in December versus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 10 2011

  U.S. ISM Composite Index Is Highest Since 2006

  Haver Analytics constructs an ISM Composite Index based on the previously published ISM manufacturing and nonmanufacturing reports. For December, the index rose to 57.1, its highest level since 2006. From September-to-December, the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 10 2011

  U.S. Consumer Credit Again Ratchets Up

  Consumers are borrowing but they're not using their credit cards. The Federal Reserve reported Friday that consumer credit outstanding rose $1.4B during November following a $7.0B October increase that was nearly double the initial [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 07 2011

  U.S. Payroll Increase Disappoints Again But Unemployment Rate Declines

  The labor market just can't seem to generate a full head of steam. Nonfarm payrolls rose 103,000 last month after upwardly revised gains during the prior two months. But the rise disappointed Consensus forecasts for a 150,000 gain and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 06 2011

  U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Rise Modestly

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose last week to 409,000 from 391,000 (initially reported as 388,000). The latest was higher than expectations for 400,000 according to Bloomberg. Nevertheless, claims remained near the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 06 2011

  U.S. Challenger Layoffs Lowest In Ten Years

  The outplacement firm of Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that the level of layoffs during December fell sharply to 32,004. The level was the lowest since June 2000. For the full year, planned layoffs totaled 529,973, down 58.9% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 06 2011

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Remain Near One-Year Low Though Rates Dip

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that overall mortgage applications continued to stabilize last week. Applications rose 2.3% and reversed the prior week's decline, both of which came on the heels of an 18.6% mid-month plunge. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief