Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Dec 23 2010

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Decline

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance slipped last week to 420,000 from 423,000 during the prior period (revised from 420,000). The four-week moving average ticked up to 426,000, still near the lowest since July 2008. The latest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 23 2010

  U.S. Personal Income & Spending Growth Remains Moderate

  Personal income growth remains on a moderate growth track supported by improved jobs growth. Last month, income grew 0.3% following a revised 0.4% October rise, initially reported as 0.5%. A 0.2% increase has been the Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 22 2010

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Reach One-Year Low As Rates Remain High

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that overall mortgage applications plunged 18.6% last week to the lowest since early this year. The decline was led by a 24.6% weekly drop in applications to refinance a mortgage. Applications [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 22 2010

  U.S. Existing Home Sales Rise While Prices Inch Up

  The National Association of Realtors reported that November sales of existing homes rose 5.6% to 4.680M following an unrevised 2.2% October decline. November sales fell short of Consensus expectations for 4.74M but for the quarter [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 22 2010

  U.S. GDP Growth Revised Up; Corporate Profits Lowered

  Real GDP increased 2.6% (SAAR) last quarter which was roughly equal to the preliminary report of a 2.5% rise issued last month. The gain matched expectations for a 2.6% rise by MMS International. So far since the last recession GDP [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 21 2010

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Recover With Renewed Holiday Spirit

  Reports of aggressive promotions paid a dividend last week and spurred retail sales. Sales at chain stores increased 1.7% w/w to the highest level since early-August. However, since the surge followed weakness early in the month, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 21 2010

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Hold Steady

  The recent firming of gasoline prices took a breather last week. Nevertheless, as the pump price for regular gasoline remained at $2.98 per gallon. It still was the firmest since October 2008. Prices have risen roughly fifty cents per [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 20 2010

  Chicago Fed Index Reverses Earlier Improvement

  The Chicago Fed reported that its National Activity Index (CFNAI) fell last month to -0.46 and reversed most of its October increase. The index remained down sharply since its March peak, suggesting that the economy's recovery has [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 17 2010

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Grow Stronger

  The Conference Board reported that its Index of Leading Economic Indicators rose 1.1% during November and nearly tripled its October increase, initially reported at 0.5%. The latest level of the index was a record high. These gains [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 17 2010

  U.S. Current Account Deficit Widens in Q3

  Figures released yesterday indicated that the U.S. current account deficit widened in Q3 to $127.2B from a revised $123.2B in Q2. The figure was slightly deeper than Consensus expectations for $126.0B. The Q2 ratio to GDP was 3.5%, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 16 2010

  Philadelphia Fed Index Improves To Highest Since 2005

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank indicated that its December index of regional factory sector activity improved further to 24.3, its highest level since April 2005. The latest easily outpaced Consensus expectations for a m/m [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 16 2010

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Decline

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance declined last week to 420,000 from 423,000 during the prior period (revised from 421,000). The trend level continued downward as the four-week moving average fell to 422,750, the lowest since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief