Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 13 2012

  U.S. Retail Sales Driven By Autos & Gasoline

  Retail sales jumped 1.1% (6.5% y/y) during February following upwardly revised gains of 0.6% and 0.3% during the prior two months. The improvement about matched Consensus expectations for a 1.1% rise according to Action Economics. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 13 2012

  U.S. Retail Sales Driven By Autos & Gasoline

  Retail sales jumped 1.1% (6.5% y/y) during February following upwardly revised gains of 0.6% and 0.3% during the prior two months. The improvement about matched Consensus expectations for a 1.1% rise according to Action Economics. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 12 2012

  U.S. Budget Deficit Is Reduced By Spending Restraint

  During February, the Federal Government ran a budget deficit of $231.7B, according to figures released by the U.S. Treasury and the Office of Management and Budget. So far this fiscal year, the deficit totaled $580.8B, down from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 09 2012

  U.S. Trade Deficit Widens With Higher Oil Values

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit in January widened to $52.6B versus $50.4B in December, revised from $48.8B. Expectations had been for a January deficit of $49.0B, according to Action Economics. Exports rose 1.4% (7.7% y/y) but imports [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 09 2012

  U.S. Jobs Growth & Unemployment Rate Are Stable

  Labor market improvement may have hit a moderate & steady cruising speed. Nonfarm payrolls grew 227,000 (1.5% y/y) during February following a 284,000 January rise and a 223,000 December increase, both of which were revised up [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 08 2012

  U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Are Still Near Four Year Low

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance edged up during the week ended March 3 to 362,000 from 354,000 during the previous period, initially estimated at 351,000. Claims averaged 355,000 (-10.4% y/y) during the last four weeks. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 08 2012

  Challenger Indicates A Slight Decline in Job Cuts

  The outplacement firm of Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that job cut announcements during February slipped to 51,728 and remained near the earlier low. During the last ten years there has been a 67% correlation between the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 08 2012

  U.S. Consumer Credit Outstanding Continues Rising

  Reported late yesterday, consumer credit outstanding jumped another $17.8B (4.3% y/y) during January after a $16.3B December increase, revised from $19.3B. A $10.0B increase had been expected by Action Economics. It raised credit [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2012

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Slip W/W But Surge Y/Y

  The index of total mortgage applications slipped 1.2% last week to 754.4 (+46.7% y/y), down for the fourth consecutive week. Nevertheless, applications were up by nearly one-half versus last year. Applications to refinance fell 2.0% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2012

  ADP Report Shows Job Market Improvement

  The job market continues to improve at a moderate rate. Private nonfarm payrolls rose 216,000 last month after rising 173,000 during January, revised from 170,000 reported last month. Earlier figures were revised due to updated [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 06 2012

  U.S. Chain Store Sales' Forward Momentum Improves

  Spend money: Consumers tend to do just that. And lately they've been at it wholeheartedly. Chain store sales rose 1.3% last week (1.7% y/y) and the increase lifted early-March spending 1.5% above the February average. The year-to-year [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 06 2012

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Continue Higher

  It's been a relentless trudge upward. Pump prices for regular gasoline increased seven cents last week to $3.79 per gallon and were up fifty cents versus early-January. Moreover, retail prices typically decline this time of year with [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief