Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Sep 25 2012

  U.S. Gasoline & Crude Oil Prices Back Off Seasonally

  Since the summer, petroleum prices have been on the rise but lately the momentum eased.The pump price of regular gasoline fell five cents last week to $3.83 per gallon. However, since fall usually brings with it less driving, prices [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 25 2012

  U.S. Case-Shiller Home Price Index Is Still Rising

  Housing prices are on the rise throughout the country. The seasonally adjusted Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index rose 0.4% (1.1% y/y) during July. That added to an unrevised 0.9% June increase. The gain in prices follows last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 24 2012

  U.S. Chicago Fed Index Falls To Its Lowest Level Since The Last Recession

  The recession has been revisited. The National Activity Index (CFNAI) from the Chicago Federal Reserve deteriorated to -0.87 during August from a little revised -0.12 in July. The latest reading was the lowest since June 2009, the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 21 2012

  U.S. Mass Layoffs Decline

  The job market continues to show signs of improvement as mass layoffs in the U.S. during August continued lower. The Labor Department reported that layoffs of 50 or more persons from a single firm fell to 1,016, the lowest level in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 20 2012

  U.S. Leading Indicators Slip

  The Leading Economic Indicator index from the Conference Board matched expectations and edged 0.1% lower last month. That followed a revised 0.5% July gain, initially reported as 0.4%. Sixty percent of the component series had a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 20 2012

  U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Trend Up but Slip W/W

  The four-week moving average of initial claims for unemployment insurance rose to 377,750 last week, its highest level since late-June. On a weekly basis,initial jobless insurance claims fell to 382,000 during the week ended September [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 19 2012

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Improve As Interest Rates Reach New Lows

  Lower interest rates are fueling activity in the market for home mortgages. The Mortgage Bankers Association index of total mortgage applications slipped 0.2% last week (+21.2% y/y) but that followed an 11.1% increase during the prior [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 19 2012

  U.S. Existing Home Sales Surprisingly Reach A 2-Year High

  Home buying is gaining momentum. The National Association of Realtors reported that sales of existing homes rose 7.8% last month to a 4.820M annual rate. That followed an unrevised 2.3% July rise. It raised sales to the highest level [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 19 2012

  U.S. Housing Starts Are Firm

  New residential building activity remained on a solid footing last month. Total housing starts rose 2.3% (29.1% y/y) to 750,000 (AR) from 733,000 during July, revised down from 746,000. Expectations had been for 760,000 starts in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 18 2012

  U.S. Home Builders Index Climbs To Highest Level Since 2006

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo increased three points this month to 40. The latest figure was the highest since June 2006. The index of single-family home sales rose four [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 18 2012

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Continue Upward

  For a month and a half gasoline prices have been on the rise. The pump price of regular gasoline rose three cents last week to $3.88 per gallon, the highest level since mid-April. At this is the time of year, seasonal price pressures [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 18 2012

  U.S. Current Account Deficit Improves

  The U.S. current account deficit lessened last quarter to $117.4B from $133.6B in Q1. The easing left the deficit to GDP ratio at 3.0%, roughly the same as in 2011 and 2010. Total exports grew another 1.2% led by a 1.4% (5.9% y/y) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief